CFE Research ’ s 2020 Evidence Meta-Review 14 also identified encouraging signs for progression :
“ Although it is not possible to measure the impact of Uni Connect on longer-term outcomes such as the actual rate of progression to HE at this stage , the signs are encouraging . Sustaining these impacts is , therefore , essential and will help to ensure the long-term goal of equality of opportunity in HE is achieved ”.
Evaluating the impact of Aimhigher West Midlands on HE progression rates
In 2019 , Aimhigher Plus conducted a quasi-experimental , mixed methods study comparing HE progression outcomes ( UCAS acceptances ) for learners that had and had not engaged in their programme activities . All learners were enrolled on full-time level 3 courses and were attending schools / FE colleges targeted by Aimhigher . UCAS data was supplemented by in-depth learner and school case studies , which helped to provide context to the quantitative data and an understanding of the enabling factors to support learners ’ HE progress .
The study , considered an example of Type 3 ( causal ) evidence by TASO and CFE Research , found that Aimhigher target learners who engaged with one or more interventions were 1.5 times more likely to be accepted to HE than a comparison group of learners that did not engage at all . A positive association ( up to a critical point ) between increased engagement and an increased likelihood of progressing to HE was observed , suggesting optimal engagement was 7- 8 activities , after which there was a slight fall in progression rates . School and learner case studies found interventions have helped to address many barriers learners face through improving HE knowledge and attitudes . Wider benefits were reported to learners ’ behaviour , school attendance , confidence , motivation and school attainment , with a potential impact on progression .
Impact on attainment
As well as the intended aims above , there is evidence from the HEAT database 15 of Uni Connect outreach participants 16 showing slightly increased levels of Key Stage 4 attainment when
14
Uni Connect : Evidence Meta- Review . A report for the Office for Students on the findings from the second call for local evaluation evidence ( October 2020 ). P23 .
15
HEAT Aggregate Report : Key Stage 4 Performance 2017 / 18 . January 2020 .
16
All participants included in the analysis engaged in an intensive package of outreach before sitting their KS4 exams in 2017 / 18 . In total , 6,005 outreach participants were included in the analysis . 10