Figure 17 : Gap in high tariff application rates between learners from Uni Connect areas and the average high tariff application rate of 1,000 matched counterfactual groups of learners from non-Uni Connect areas
127 . As Figure 18 below demonstrates , there is insufficient evidence to conclude that this 0.4 percentage point increase is outside the bounds of random variation . Estimates of the change in the high tariff application gap between 2016 and 2021 range between -0.2 and 1.0 percentage points ( at the 95 per cent confidence level ).
Figure 18 : Estimated percentage point change in gap in high tariff application rates since 2016 after taking into account differences in matched characteristics between learners
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