Trustnet Magazine Issue 44 October 2018 | Page 34

In focus [ TRUST ] 32 / 33 Manager Lucy MacDonald believes a focus on quality stocks is likely to be the best option for investors as the end of the market cycle approaches Brunner Investment Trust FE TRUSTNET what we’ve been doing to the trust has brought it in,” said the manager. The trust has made 251.02 per cent since MacDonald joined in July 2005, compared with 216.98 per cent from its benchmark, split 70/30 between the FTSE All World and All Share. FACT BOX MANAGER: Lucy MacDonald / LAUNCHED: 03/12/1927 / PREMIUM/DISCOUNT: -12.6% / OCF: 0.72% FE CROWN RATING PERFORMANCE OF TRUST VS SECTOR AND BENCHMARK OVER MANAGER TENURE Brunner Investment Trust (251.02%) IT Global (248.36%) Brunner IT benchmark (216.98%) 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Au 08 -50% MacDonald believes growth will likely tail off as 2019 approaches, with the market adjusting to changes in both monetary and fiscal policy and the expectation of lower profits – in particular, she said the 10 per cent growth seen in earnings this year is unlikely to be repeated. Instead, she has tilted her portfolio towards quality stocks. “In a period where you have limitless liquidity then quality is not a feature which is valued,” she explained. “But as we move into this [new, post- quantitative easing] environment we think it will get reviewed and we think it’s already starting to come true.” The return of volatility to markets in 2018 after a relatively benign – and unusual – 2017 has thrown up some other opportunities for MacDonald to add some quality stocks to the portfolio at more attractive valuations. Other opportunities have arisen from Brunner’s decision to adopt a new T he debate over whether growth or value will be the best style for optimising returns going forward has continued to cloud many investors’ decisions. However, Brunner Investment Trust’s Lucy MacDonald believes quality is likely to be the best option for investors as the end of the cycle draws near. The manager said the changing economic backdrop is likely to mean a more challenging period in markets from this point. “Our view is that we are entering a period where we think overall capital returns will be flatter and a bit more volatility will begin to creep into the market after a period of exceptionally high returns,” she said. “We think that because we are getting to peak liquidly following the quantitative easing, from the fourth quarter this year liquidity will begin to be drained out as it turns into a withdrawal.” benchmark, allowing it to increase exposure to companies based overseas. Meanwhile, the renegotiation of costly debentures has seen the trust’s discount narrow. “It went out to 20 per cent and then a combination of performance and Source: FE Analytics trustnet.com