Trustnet Magazine Issue 43 September 2018 | Page 18

Advertorial feature Investor discipline Fund managers love to talk through their investment process and how it led them to buy a particular stock, but frequently skip over their sell discipline. A focus on dividend yields provides a clear valuation discipline for fund managers. When the dividend yield of a stock moves to a discount to the market through strong share-price appreciation, it forces the fund manager to re-evaluate the investment. Can I still justify holding a low-yielding company as an income fund manager? The answer is, sometimes. Hilton Food Group now yields only 2.3%, having been FE TRUSTNET [ JANUS HENDERSON ] 20 / 21 one of my strongest performers over the last few years, however, given the good visibility over its future growth, it still has a place in the portfolio. When MoneySuperMarket’s dividend yield fell to less than 3% in 2015, the payout ratio was already high, while the rate of growth was slowing. Despite being a good performer, it was time to move on. Message 3 – Stay disciplined, even with your favourites. Company management discipline Company management’s role is to keep us shareholders happy. One way is to pay a sustainable dividend while the other way is to invest and grow the business. It’s a fine balance in capital allocation. Paying a too-small dividend may lead to the cash-flow burning a hole in management pockets and encourage them to spend it irresponsibly. Think Rio Tinto’s $38bn acquisition of Alcan in 2007. Paying a too-big dividend may constrain investment in the business and lead to issues in the future. Bus and Rail operator FirstGroup cut capital expenditure to maintain its dividend which ultimately led to an underinvested fleet, operational problems, a dividend cut and a rights issue. Message 4 – A high dividend yield is not always attractive, especially if the company can’t afford it. Glossary Price to earnings ratio: A popular ratio used to value a company’s shares. It is calculated by dividing the current share price by its earnings per share. In general, a high P/E ratio indicates that investors expect strong earnings growth in the future, although a (temporary) collapse in earnings can also lead to a high P/E ratio. is the amount by which the price Discount: When the market per share of an price of a security is investment trust is thought to be less than its lower than the value underlying value, it is said of its underlying net asset to be ‘trading at a discount’. value. The opposite of Within investment trusts, this trading at a premium. A focus on dividend yields provides a clear valuation discipline for fund managers valuation used to screen “cheap” on- earnings metrics, but the company always generated poor cash-flow. This should have been the early warning sign to investors. Message 5 – Don’t ignore the phrase “Cash is King”. Cash-flow Companies are unable to pay dividends without sufficient cash-flow. Cash-flow is harder to manipulate than earnings and provides a better indication of a company’s value. Before Carillion got into trouble, the Dividends are very important to investors, but only if they are sustainable and can grow into the future. Focusing on a well-diversified portfolio of companies that pay a good and growing dividend should help drive outperformance over the long term. Nothing in this document is intended to or should be construed as advice.  This document is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. It does not form part of any contract for the sale or purchase of any investment. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested. Issued in the UK by Janus Henderson Investors. Janus Henderson Investors is the name under which Janus Capital International Limited (reg no. 3594615), Henderson Global Investors Limited (reg. no. 906355), Henderson Investment Funds Limited (reg. no. 2678531), AlphaGen Capital Limited (reg. no. 962757), Henderson Equity Partners Limited (reg. no.2606646), (each incorporated and registered in England and Wales with registered office at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3AE) are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority to provide investment products and services.  © 2018, Janus Henderson Investors. The name Janus Henderson Investors includes HGI Group Limited, Henderson Global I