Trustnet Magazine Issue 37 February 2018 | Page 8

For promotional purposes / JANUS HENDERSON / T HERE ARE ALWAYS MONEY-MAKING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES waiting out in the market and it is only lack of imagination and idleness that stop us professional investment managers from taking them. This is a fact I have needed to remind myself about in recent months. The UK can appear depressing with the Brexit debate ratcheting up to the point of angry disagreement in which everyone will be a loser and where real wages are falling. The large consumer stocks, property companies and utilities are facing strong headwinds, with a slowdown in economic activity predicted. There is also the structural challenge caused by yesterday’s strong franchises rapidly being reduced to today’s tired business models. Think how Ladbrokes dominated the betting market only for its market share to be eaten away by the online platforms or the way internet clothes retail business ASOS went from a start-up to having a market capitalisation nearly the same as Marks and Spencer. It is the rapid speed of change that is making some AIM-listed companies such a good hunting ground for opportunities, despite the economic backdrop. ASOS had a value of a few million pounds in 2005 and it now has a market value of £5bn (Source: Bloomberg, February 2018). It is still listed on AIM. Many of the new, young companies on AIM will fail but this will primarily not be the fault of the economy – rather their inadequacies as a business. In the same way the winners will succeed because of their own efforts and excellence of product. It is refreshing every time to meet and talk to a new young company on AIM. There will be many disappointments, but the next generation of dynamic UK companies that will play their part in driving the UK economy forward, regardless of Brexit and politicians, can be found on the over one thousand companies that are on AIM. AIM can therefore play an important part in a well-balanced portfolio.  PERFORMANCE OF INDEX MAY 1997 TO MAY 2016 300% FTSE AIM All Share -TOT Return IND (Rebased 100) 250% 200% 150% 100% -21.6% 50% 0% James Henderson of the Henderson Opportunities Trust says the AIM index contains the next generation of UK companies that could drive the economy for years to come in the early days with absurd valuations that proved to be businesses of no value, followed by a mining boom when the hype did not match the reality, resulting in heavy losses for investors. These two events dragged down the AIM returns. The returns since the 19th year anniversary have seen substantial growth driven by a diverse range of stocks (see bottom chart). Source: Datastream, as at 12 May 2016. Rebased to 100, as at 12 May 1997 PERFORMANCE OF INDEX MAY 2016 TO NOV 2017 160% 150% FTSE AIM All Share -TOT Return IND (Rebased 100) +44.5% 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% AIM FOR THE STARS For a start, Brexit is unlikely to be mentioned. The successes come in many different areas of activity. Tonic water producer Fevertree and robotics company Blue Prism were two of the stars last year, while Scapa, an industrial tape company, and Johnson Services, a laundry business, have given very strong returns recently. Success, like failure, comes in many different areas. An interesting characteristic of Scapa and Johnson Group is that they were both once quoted on the main market. They had become problem- riddled old companies, but the move to AIM and new management teams meant they rediscovered their purpose and drive. This shows it is not only young companies that succeed on AIM, old companies can reinvent themselves. It is the lighter regulations and lower costs that mean some companies leave the main market to join AIM and these can be important factors in their recovery plans. What, therefore, is the process for finding a successful investment on AIM? Given there is no blueprint for success, there is no process for finding a successful investment other than doing the research. If you stay open to new ideas and then see a lot of companies already quoted on AIM or coming to AIM every so often, through elements of luck and hard observation, the successful investment will be found. AIM has had a good year but this has not always been the case: in fact the AIM index was down from its launch in 1997 to May 2016 (see chart top-right). The reasons for this were that investors had chased fashion. There were too many tech companies Source: Datastream, as at 21 November 2017. Rebased to 100, as at 12 May 2016 Before investing in an investment trust referred to in this document, you should satisfy yourself as to its suitability and the risks involved, you may wish to consult a financial adviser. [Past performance is not a guide to future performance]. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested. [Tax assumptions and reliefs depend upon an investor’s particular circumstances and may change if those circumstances or the law change]. Nothing in this document is intended to or should be construed as advice. This document is not a recommendation to sell or purchase any investment. It does not form part of any contract for the sale or purchase of any investment. [We may record telephone calls for our mutual protection, to improve customer service and for regulatory record keeping purposes.] Issued in the UK by Janus Henderson Investors. Janus Henderson Investors is the name under which Janus Capital International Limited (reg no. 3594615), Henderson Global Investors Limited (reg. no. 906355), Henderson Investment Funds Limited (reg. no. 2678531), AlphaGen Capital Limited (reg. no. 962757), Henderson Equity Partners Limited (reg. no.2606646), (each incorporated and registered in England and Wales with registered office at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3AE) are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority to provide investment products and services. © 2018, Janus Henderson Investors. The name Janus Henderson Investors includes HGI Group Limited, Henderson Global Investors (Brand Management) Sarl and Janus International Holding LLC. 6 trustnet.com trustnet.com 7