Trustnet Magazine Issue 33 October 2017 | Page 18

SCOTTISH MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST / LONG-TERM FUNDS / PERFORMANCE OF SECTORS OVER 20YRS Sector 20yrs (%) IA Europe ex UK 310.19 IA European Smaller Companies 750.76 227.4 IA North America IA North American Smaller Companies 392.26 IA UK All Companies 213.28 IA UK Smaller Companies 605.77 Source: FE Analytics “Small caps are outperforming their larger counterparts by a significant amount across all major regions in the long term” manager in Premier’s multi-asset team, says you should consider passives “if you literally don’t want to change your investment for 30 years. Passives have the edge”. This is not only because of the lower costs associated with passives but because of the key- man risk that inevitability comes from a fund manager retiring or dying on the job. Nonetheless, he thinks a purely passive approach may mean sacrificing a lot of extra returns for the sake of failing to review your portfolio once a year. “If you could be certain that your active manager would stay for the entirety of your investment period, and that they wouldn’t allow the fund to get too big, then I’d say active is by far the better option in fact. Especially over long periods where the inevitable periods of 16 underperformance can be ironed out, and their advantage can be compounded in to much higher returns,” he adds. Jason Hollands, managing director of Tilney, notes it is worth obs erving just how much the world can change over the extreme long term. “Thirty years ago, the internet was just a twinkle in a clever person’s mind and names such as Google, Facebook and Netflix were unheard of. Many of the incumbent dominant companies back then simply no longer exist now and have fallen prey to the creative destruction of capitalism,” he explains. Evan-Cook and Hollands say asset allocation is also enormously important for the very long-term investor. For example, Evan-Cook says small caps are a great area to invest in, outperforming their larger counterparts by a significant amount across all major regions in the long term. “I think you also need to be wary about individual sectors on a long- term basis. As plenty of investors saw with commodities, there’s a real danger of getting sucked into yesterday’s winners at exactly the wrong point,” he warns. Rob Morgan, pensions and investment analyst at Charles Stanley Direct, also believes small caps, alongside emerging markets, are the best places to start for long term investors due to their higher- growth characteristics. He also recommends holding some equity income funds for the foundation provided by their compounding dividend income. This would then allow you to add more thematic portfolios such as the £5bn Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, which buys “disruptive companies”. Berkshire Hathaway chairman Warren Buffett has long said he simply buys good quality companies that he wants to hold forever and lets compounding do the rest. For the rest of us, it’s best to be honest and realise that we don’t know what the future will hold, so backing one firm, country or theme runs the risk that you pick the one that’s on the wrong side of history – less Buffett, more buffoon. trustnetdirect.com SCOTTISH MORTGAGE ENTERED THE FTSE 100 INDEX IN MARCH 2017 THAT’S PERFECT. When it comes to investing, imbalance can be a very good thing. Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust embraces the asymmetry of equity returns. It’s an important fact that even in the worst case the most any stock can fall by is 100% while some may increase many, many times more than that over the long term. So we focus on the potential upside of investment decisions rather than seeking to avoid loss. History shows that stock market returns are driven by a small group of big winners and our job is to identify such companies and then invest in them with conviction. We think we’ve done a good job so far. Over the last five years Scottish Mortgage, managed by Baillie Gifford, has delivered a total return of 221.2% compared to 118.7% for the sector*. And Scottish Mortgage is low-cost with an ongoing charges figure of just 0.44%. † Standardised past performance to 30 June*. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Scottish Mortgage 26.9% 28.9% 25.8% 4.9% 48.8% AIC Global Sector Average 22.9% 16.7% 13.2% 1.7% 32.1% Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Please remember that changing stock market conditions and currency exchange rates will affect the value of your investment in the fund and any income from it. You may not get back the amount invested. For a decidedly imbalanced approach, call 0800 917 2112 or visit us at www.scottishmortgageit.com Long-term investment partners *Source: Morningstar, share price, total return as at 30.06.17. † Ongoing charges as at 31.03.17. Your call may be recorded for training or monitoring purposes. Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC is available through the Baillie Gifford Investment Trust Share Plan and the Investment Trust ISA, which are managed by Baillie Gifford Savings Management Limited (BGSM). BGSM is an affiliate of Baillie Gifford & Co Limited, which is the manager and secretary of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC.