Trustnet Magazine Issue 13 December 2015 | Page 17

JAPAN INVESTORS GET HUNG UP ON WHAT IS TAKING PLACE IN THE ECONOMY AND MISS OPPORTUNITIES THAT MAY BE PRESENTING THEMSELVES AT THE STOCK MARKET LEVEL trustnetdirect.com City Asset Management’s head of research James Calder says the firm has spent 2015 building its weighting to Japan. Having adopted a zero weighting for a number of years, it increased this PERFORMANCE OF INDICES YEAR TO DATE 25% 20% Nikkei 225 (14.51%) MSCI Europe (3.17%) S&P 500 (6.56%) FTSE 100 (0.40%) 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb -10% Jan 15 “In the summer of 2014, we met Legg Mason’s Japan manager Hideo Shiozumi, who has seen all of these false dawns before, and he told us that he was as bullish as he has ever been, which was an important signal for us,” he added. The Apollo Balanced fund had almost 16 per cent in Japan following that meeting, close to an all-time high. However, that weighting was reduced to 12 per cent earlier this year, compared with 4 per cent from its benchmark, when it sold out of the Lyxor Nikkei 400 ETF. Hughes says that although being overweight in 2014 proved to be painful, it paid off in 2015. In addition to holding Shiozumi’s Legg Mason IF Japan Equity fund – which tops the IA Japan sector over one and five years and is second over three – Hughes also holds Coupland Cardiff Japan Alpha, managed by Jonathan Dobson. to 3 per cent in in the balanced mandate it runs in the fourth quarter of 2014 and has increased this to 7 per cent since then. “The reason for this positivity is nothing that hasn’t been said before,” Calder said. “There is a lot of stimulus taking place from the Bank of Japan and you are seeing corporate change take place, with returns on equity becoming a much more important part of the overall return profile.” “While of course the road along the way will be bumpy, we are also hopefully moving into an Source: FE Analytics 17