Trustnet Magazine Issue 12 November 2015 | Page 22

INVESTMENT STRATEGY SCHRODERS THE MEANING OF GROWTH F or many investors, investment growth is synonymous with revenue growth, but for Philip Matthews, manager of the Schroder UK Growth Fund plc, growth requires a more nuanced definition. This means not simply buying and holding companies that appear to be able to grow revenues over the long term, but looking for growth the market is missing. One advantage of investment trusts is their captive pool of assets, which allows fund managers to take a long-term perspective. They do not have to manage inflows and outflows and can therefore invest for sound investment reasons rather than to manage liquidity. DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES This does not mean investment trust managers can be agnostic on price or the shifting prospects of individual industries. The global economy is fast-moving as new, disruptive technologies emerge, and old – apparently untouchable – businesses fall away. This is seen clearly in industries such as high street retailing, where the internet has created a permanent and profound shift in buying habits in relation to food, clothes, travel, banking and more. High street stalwarts have seen their businesses challenged by companies that may not have existed 12 months previously. In this environment, it is tempting to leap on the next big thing, but this is unlikely to fulfil a true growth mandate. In general, this type of growth is relatively easy to spot: after all, most investors can read the statistics on the growth of e-commerce or the rise of online advertising. It does not mean it is a quick and easy way to make money because the opportunity is generally already in the price. The key to achieving real long-term growth is to find something undiscovered or under-appreciated by markets. As the technology bubble showed, markets tend to get overexcited about change, but Schroders’ Philip Matthews says that growth is about far more than just an increase in share prices may underestimate the ability of incumbents to adapt. The Schroder UK Growth Fund plc aims to recognise and accommodate structural change in markets, while not over-estimating the profundity of that change before it happens. In adapting to changing market conditions, Matthews focuses on the valuation of assets to ensure that while change is captured, the price paid for it is not excessive. He looks at company performance over the long-term, assessing what type of earnings might be expected. This does not assume that all companies revert to the mean, but allows for structural change in individual industries. THE RIGHT PRICE Matthews regards valuation as a key determinant of potential future returns: there are many reasons why an investor might over-pay for assets, but none are likely to have the same impact as buying the company at the right price. Buying the obvious growth companies tends to lead investors to overweight certain parts of the market. In contrast, Matthews’ systematic screening forces a constant re-evaluation of where he sees the best combination of value and quality. The screens penalise businesses whose profit streams are cyclically extended, are capital intensive, and where those profits do not convert into cash over time. The market may be focusing on those areas exhibiting the strongest revenue growth, but the real excitement may be found in companies that are quietly re-grouping, and rebuilding their growth strategy, but whose history has set investors against them. Stock market history has many “revival” stories. The housebuilders, sold off violently after the financial crisis, were reappraised significantly as economic re covery unfurled. More recently, the banks have undergone their own reappraisal as greater regulatory controls have been introduced. Matthews examines cyclical risks, structural growth trends and ultimately cash generation. He analyses each company’s franchise and balance sheet strength as well as relative and absolute valuation THE KEY TO ACHIEVING REAL LONG-TERM GROWTH IS TO FIND SOMETHING UNDISCOVERED OR UNDER-APPRECIATED BY MARKETS to build a margin of safety into the investment. In assessing a company’s valuation, Matthews looks at enterprise value, which helps assess a company in the same way as a trade buyer. UNRECOGNISED POTENTIAL Companies in the Schroder UK Growth Fund plc should have strong business models and franchises, and healthy balance sheets, but this is not sufficient to build a position. They should also have unrecognised potential on a two- to three-year view. This may be because there has been a short-term set-back, or the market underappreciates the growth potential of one part of the business. An understanding of the company’s franchise is important: its position in its marketplace, competitive advantage, ability to take market share, the strength of its brand and the structural trends driving its growth. Although Matthews is a stockdriven rather than macroeconomic investor, he recognises the fortunes of individual companies cannot be entirely disaggregated from broader themes. Such themes are discussed with Schroders’ economists and their views combined with the research Matthews carries out on individual companies. In this way, he aims to distinguish between earnings or revenue growth and the opportunity for investors to achieve capital growth over the medium term. In aiming to uncover real, long-term growth in companies, investors need to be more nuanced than simply looking for the next big trend. Often, strong opportunities can be found when the rest of the market is looking the opposite way. What are the risks? • Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. • Portfolios which invest in a smaller number of stocks carry more risk than funds spread across a larger number of companies. Investments in smaller companies may be less liquid than in larger companies and price swings may therefore be greater than in larger company funds. • The Company will invest solely in the companies of one country or region. This can carry more risk than investments spread over a number of countries or regions. • The Company may borrow money to invest in further investments, this is known as gearing. Gearing will increase returns if the value of the investments purchased increase in value by more than the cost of borrowing, or reduce returns if they fail to do so. As a result of the fees being charged partially to capital, the distributable income of the fund may be higher, but the capital value of the fund may be eroded. Important Information: We recommend you seek financial advice from an Independent Adviser before making an investment decision. If you don’t already have an Adviser, you can find one at www. unbiased.co.uk or www.vouchedfor.co.uk. The most up to date Key Features Documents are available at www.schroders.co.uk/investor. The views and opinions contained herein are those of Philip Matthews, Fund Manager, UK Equity, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Schroders communications, strategies or funds. The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. Reliance should not be placed on the views and information in the document when taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions. Issued in September 2015 by Schroder Unit Trusts Limited, 31 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7QA. Registered No: 4191730 England. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.UK09758 20 trustnetdirect.com trustnetdirect.com 21