Trustnet Magazine 59 February 2020 | Page 8
Cover story
8 / 9
Timing
the market
Fund managers will often build
up their exposure to more
defensive assets if they are worried
markets are looking toppy and will
pile into equities if they think we
could be at the start of a bull run.
However, Richard Morley, senior
investment manager at Brewin
Dolphin, says that when private
investors try to time the market, they
invariably get it wrong.
“No one has the foresight to predict
every market movement, so leaving
your portfolio intact during short-
term corrections is vital to benefit
from any recovery,” he explains.
“When markets fall, there are the
inevitable conversations with retail
clients who want to sell up, which can
be the wrong thing to do.
“Even if it puts their mind at ease, in
my experience it is rare that they will
ever put that money back into their
portfolio, as it never seems a ‘good’
time to reinvest. Making knee-jerk
reactions will ultimately erode your
returns.”
Research from Claverhouse IT shows
that missing the 10 best days of the
FTSE All Share index
between 2009 and
TRUSTNET
2018 would have turned an annualised
return of 5.1 per cent into just 1.7 per
cent; missing the best 30 days would
have turned this figure negative.
Yet even getting your market timing
right is no guarantee of making
money. A recent study from Fidelity
showed someone who made regular
contributions totalling £60,000 into
the FTSE All Share over the past 30
years would have made £22,561 more
than someone who waited for the
market to bottom out in each of the six
biggest crashes over this time.
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which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
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