Trustnet Magazine 59 February 2020 | Page 10

Cover story Trading derivatives Professional investors use derivatives for a variety of reasons, whether it is to hedge against a market crash in an absolute return fund, boost the dividend in an income product or even to super-size gains if they have a strong conviction in the direction of an instrument. Managers who engage in practices such as short selling will have a level of insight into the market that retail investors can only dream about, yet as AJ Bell’s head of active portfolios Ryan Hughes points out, even they can get it wrong. “Going short, or betting that a stock will fall, is a very dangerous strategy that should be used with caution, with many professional investors failing to get it right,” he says. “The risk here is that you have the potential for unlimited losses as the share price can keep climbing and climbing. Done well, it can bring useful diversification to a portfolio, but TRUSTNET [ EXPERTS ONLY ] 10 / 11 done badly, it can have damaging consequences.” Investors do not need to look too far into the past to see where this can go wrong. Electric car manufacturer Tesla regularly tops the list of most shorted stocks in the US due to issues such as a weak balance sheet and failure to turn a full-year profit. Yet it spiked by close to 40 per cent in a matter of days in early February, leading to total year-to-date losses of $8.31bn for traders short on the stock. Following a surge in the number of sites offering retail investors the opportunity to spread bet and trade contracts for difference (CFDs), the FCA forced these providers to reveal what proportion of clients end up losing money. Figures of about 70 per cent seem to be the average. A key aspect of this type of trading is leverage. Which brings us on to our next point. Levering up Gearing, levering up, or simply borrowing money, is one of the strongest weapons in the investment trust arsenal and is one of the key reasons why they outperform. However, Annabel Brodie-Smith, communications director at the AIC, says retail investors should not attempt this at a personal level. “Gearing amplifies performance in both directions, so when an investment company’s portfolio is performing well, it will boost returns, but when the portfolio is going through more difficult times, it will accentuate losses,” she explains. Hughes adds: “Gearing is very different to retail investors borrowing to invest, not least because the lender is likely to be able to call in the debt with little notice, potentially causing issues if your investments have fallen.” This brings us back to spread betting. Retail investors on these sites can lever up by 5x on individual shares and 20x on indices – which, in an industry where 70 per cent of customers lose money, is a recipe for disaster. Stories of people losing hundreds of thousands of pounds are widespread. strategy for professional investors,” he says. “However, retail investors need to have a good understanding of the costs involved as it is often much more expensive than people realise. Additionally, get your currency position Three years after the referendum wrong and you may undo any of the on Brexit, sterling can still move good you did through stock selection.” violently on a statement from Again, leverage often plays a part: you the prime minister about trade can trade 30x your original investment talks. While you may be tempted to in currencies, but it is not just retail play these swings with dreams of investors who have been wiped out in emulating George Soros, Hughes says this area. In 2015 the sudden removal of the reality is less glamorous. a cap on the Swiss franc pushed broker “Investing in different currencies, Alpari (UK) into insolvency when its either actively or to hedge, is a common clients couldn’t cover their losses. Betting on currency movements trustnet.com