Think Business Magazine November Issue | Page 25

Real Estate Demand for industrial space is closely correlated to the strength of the economy. The demand has been seen to fluctuate in tandem with contraction and expansion of the economy and foreign investment activity. Tatu City has been a major highlight among these new emerging industrial zones. The strategically located facility, broke ground in 2015 with 120 off the 180 hectares sold off-plan. Already, Unilever has acquired 24 ha to expand its manufacturing operations in Kenya, while Africa property Logistics have set-out to develop modern grade a logistics distribution park on a 9ha piece of land in the area. ALP has already agreed terms with an international occupier to lease 14000m 2 of the 50000m 2 development in what is the largest industrial lease to date in Kenya. ALP also acquired 20 ha of land in Western Nairobi at the end of 2016, where it intends to put up logistics property. Apart from the 186.9ha Tatu City Industrial Park, Tilisi Industrial Park, a 20 ha development is another major industrial real estate development set to make its mark. Key leverage points The Port The Standard Gauge Railway has already done 472 kilometers from Mombasa to Nairobi with the second phase already underway to its ultimate destination which is Malaba. A total of 40 stations are to be build along the line out of which 33 will be ready when the railway line becomes operational. The freight terminals will be located at Mombasa Port and inland container ports strategically situated at Embakasi and Naivasha to handle the anticipated freight traffic. The railway line is expected to handle at least 22 million tonnes a year of cargo or a projected 40 percent of Mombasa Port. The race for who bears the title of East Africa’s largest port, pitting Tanzania and Kenya is on. Kenya’s Mombasa Port has been the de facto hub for East Africa’s port business, but with the development of the new USD$ 6 billion Bagamoyo Port, Tanzania wants the whole pie. The new Bagamoyo Port will be 25 times larger than the Mombasa Port, and this has inspired the development of the Lamu port. The expansion of the Lamu Port will see the Port’s capacity match that of Bagamoyo Port that is set for completion in 2020. This resurgence in infrastructure development is necessitated by the open scramble for prospective business from landlocked neighbors, Rwanda, Burundi, Congo, Uganda and South Sudan. Both ports are expected to have an annual shipping capability of 20 million containers. Demand for industrial space is closely correlated to the strength of the economy. The demand has been seen to fluctuate in tandem with contraction and expansion of the economy and foreign investment activity. East Africa harbors the most potential for growth in the coming decade with Ethiopia being the main driver of this opportunities. The JJL Prime Industrial Report of 2017 indicates that Ethiopia’s industrial production potential coupled with a large population of over 100 million. Ethiopia, alongside Kenya and Tanzania who posted 3.6 and 4.6 percent year on year growth respectively, combined demand could by 2018 surpass that in West Africa for the first time. In the report, between 2017 and 2027, demand is expected to grow by an average of 3.6 per cent year on year. This will translate to 2,210,000m 2 . Broken down, demand in 2017 is at 1,490,000 m 2 of space. From 2017 to 2022, an increase in demand of up to 220,000m2 is expected and from 2022 to 2027 a further increase of 410,000m 2 in demand. The industrial property market is currently marked with high rental growth, low vacancy rate which have attracted investors although land value and construction costs have remained high. TB NOVEMBER 2017 • THINK BUSINESS | 23