Think Business Magazine November Issue | Page 23

Market Report under review. The All Share Index, The NSE20 and NSE 25 were down 3.18%, 4.91% and 4.25% (respectively) closing at 159.25, 3626.62 and 4121.96 points (correspondingly). The poor performance was despite a significant increase in turnover which was caused by sell-offs mainly by foreign investors. Similar to the previous period, the investors were exiting the large cap counters mainly Safaricom Ltd (NSE: SCOM), Equity Group Holdings Plc (NSE; EQTY) and KCB Group Plc (NSE: KCB). General market activity was however maintained within the large caps with Safaricom Plc holding the top traded position in the review period. Also to note was the poor performance recorded in the second week of October (from October 10 th ) following some developments in the political scene that saw shareholder wealth retract by KES 25.75Bn. However during the period under review, shareholders on average lost about 3.19% of their wealth. The top traded counters were Safaricom Plc (NSE: SCOM), KCB Group Plc (NSE: KCB), Jubilee Holdings Ltd (NSE: JUB), Equity Group Holdings Ltd (NSE: EQTY) and Diamond Trust Bank Kenya Ltd (NSE: DTK). The gaining counters in the period were Olympia Capital Holdings Ltd (NSE: OCH), Standard Group Ltd (NSE: SGL), Home Afrika Ltd (NSE: HAFR), Express Kenya Ltd (NSE: XPRS) and Sanlam Kenya Plc (NSE: PAFR) which gained 10.34%, 9.02%, 4.76%, 4.17% and 2.65% (respectively). Olympia Capital Holdings Ltd (NSE: OCH) has been the top gainer in the past two successive review periods. The month’s losers were Nairobi Business Ventures Ltd (NSE: NBV)-which has lost two successive periods in a row-, ARM Cement Ltd (NSE: ARM), KCB Group Ltd (NSE: KCB), Kenol Kobil Ltd (NSE: KENO) and National Bank of Kenya Ltd (NSE: NBK) which Sector Constituents Gain/ -Loss INVESTMENT SERVICES 1 0.80% INVESTMENT 5 0.46% EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS 1 0.00% TELECOMMUNICATION & TECHNOLOGY 1 -0.99% AGRICULTURAL 6 -1.38% MANUFACTURING & ALLIED 8 -1.88% INSURANCE 6 -2.09% ENERGY & PETROLEUM 7 -4.68% BANKING 11 -5.52% COMMERCIAL AND SERVICES 13 -6.13% CONSTRUCTION & ALLIED 5 -6.79% REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST 1 -9.61% AUTOMOBILES & ACCESSORIES 1 -10.00% 66 -3.68% correspondingly shed 36.36%, 13.62%, 11.90%, 11.85% and 10.71%. Standard Group Plc (+119.70%), Crown Paints Kenya Plc (+80.95%), Diamond Trust Bank of Kenya Ltd (+51.69%) and KenGen Co. Ltd (+50.00%) were in the top YTD gainers in the period while the YTD top losers that maintained on the list were Nairobi Business Ventures Ltd (-77.85%), Sameer Africa Ltd (-69.41%), ARM Cement Plc (-49.02%), and Deacons (East Africa) Plc (-34.71%). All sectors except the Investment Services and Investment Sectors lost in the period with the Automobiles & Accessories Sector shedding the most as a result of a 10% drop in its sole constituent counter’s share price. There was notable increase in foreign investor participation in the period as the investors sold off most of their portfolios with local investors staying clear off the market due to the rising political temperatures. The local investors displayed bullish behavior in the previous period as opposed to this period which they have taken a “wait-and-see” approach on the market. Foreign investors dominated the market, accounting for 60% of the activity and emerged as net sellers in the last half of September as they turned net buyers in the first of October and mainly on the large cap counters. Local investors have been buyers on the large caps as well as speculators on the small cap counters. Market Outlook. The market has taken a hit from the uncertainty that comes with the rising political temperatures. Investors also seem to remain very skeptical about any opportunities left in the market as they are seen to completely stay out of the market. We expect the subdued turnover levels and foreign investor dominance to persist until the repeat presidential polls, slated for October 26th, are held. We also expect continued sell-offs by foreign investors who have been net sellers for more than three months now. Local investors will continue to speculate in the market until the general political environment eases up. That said, we remain confident that the market will pick up as soon as elections are conducted and some level of confidence in the economy is felt TB NOVEMBER 2017 • THINK BUSINESS | 21