The TRADE 55 | Page 20

[ A D V E R T O R I A L ] regime are obviously aware of the regulator’s stance and the scrutiny SI operators will be under to ensure that they differ in import- ant ways from the previous BCN regime. There is going to be a lot of scrutiny and there will be an in- creasing desire for more transpar- ency than the system has produced so far, but the SI regime is and will be an important source of liquidity for the market. The SI regime has been allowed to exist because of the capital pro- vision element, which is very im- portant for markets. That does add value over and above the lit market, which is where the regulator is try- ing to go, whether it is LIS trading adding value over and above the small sizing on lit markets and the same thing for the SI regime with regard to capital. for us to have a view how wide and accessible that liquidity actually is but I’m sure the regulators will be looking at this. Is the growth of the periodic auction in line with your expectations going into 2018? MP: Absolutely. Periodic auc- tions are seen as a place for the beneath-LIS and dark activity to occur, because they do have that dark characteristic to them. The in- vestment in periodic auctions from some of the major operators has been very clear that this is a strong way forward for them. I would cer- tainly expect the acceleration we saw on 12 March to continue, be- cause there is a significant amount below LIS trading that needs to find a home. Periodic auctions fulfil a need in the market to enable trading in smaller sizes effectively in the dark. I think one of the questions the regulators will ask is about the addressability of liquidity in the auctions themselves; are they pre- matched trades that are just getting printed on a lit market? It’s hard How do you expect the regulatory landscape to evolve going forward? MP: It’s incredibly fluid and highly complex. From a MiFID II per- spective the regulators will allow things to settle somewhat; we’ve had major changes in January and then again in March with the DVCs. We all know there have been problems with data, which is why DVCs were delayed, but you must take the data and really analyse what’s going on properly to un- derstand it, because with so many inter-related matters, you can jump to the wrong conclusions if you move too quickly. I would expect the regulators to let these market structure changes bed-in, certainly through the first half of the year, before deciding on the actual impact of MiFID II on European markets. It does seem to me that European regulation is taking a global lead in terms of driving best practices and 20 // TheTrade // Spring 2018 Growth of the LIS Market Pre MiFID II Post MiFID II Post DVC 22% 78 29% 71% 44% 56% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Bloomberg, September 2017 up to and including 13th March 2017 we are certainly seeing shifts in US asset management adopting MiFID II, because that is where they are being driven by their end-custom- ers and clients. There are also some other inter- esting nuances, not least around Brexit. When it comes to trading in the dark, I think it’s fair to say that the FCA is more comfortable with dark trading and understands the institutional benefits of it in per- haps a different way than European regulators. Once the UK has left the EU there may well be further a change. It’s interesting that most of the stocks that are capped are UK stocks, whereas the cap on stocks on the Continent is much smaller. There are many unknowable un- knowns: things will certainly con- tinue to evolve, but I don’t think anyone right now can truly predict the direction in which things will go. With the rise in LIS and the overall reduction in dark MTF trading outside LIS the DVC may be seen as redundant as the caps will not be breached once market structure has settled down.