The Locksmith Journal Nov-Dec 2013 - Issue 29 | Page 20

INDUSTRYNEWS SPONSORED BY SECURIKEY PREDICTING CRIME TRENDS – IS IT CRYSTAL BALL GAZING? Trying to second-guess crime trends is a thankless task; you may as well gaze at a crystal ball. Frequently, a widely disconnected event will have a far reaching and totally unforeseen effect on crime levels, both positively and negatively. In 1973 it became compulsory for motorcyclists to wear crash helmets. With this new legislation, it was predicted that hundreds of lives would be saved. No- one expected or predicted a corresponding dramatic decrease in motorcycle theft. In the late 60s and early 70s, very few motorcycles required ignition keys and many motorcycles were simply stolen on impulse. When the last bus home from a city centre nightclub was missed, it was relatively easy to find an unguarded motorcycle and ‘borrow’ it. The chances were that the taker would be home before the theft was noted or the police asked to look out for it. As soon as the wearing of helmets became