The Investor - Moneyweb's monthly investment magazine Issue 4 | Page 10

WILL IT BE AS GOOD AS CHAPTER ONE? Almost exactly four years ago, on the 4th July 2011, Brait changed its investment model and raised R5.9 billion from shareholders, as it transitioned from a private equity manager into an investment holding company. It used the proceeds to acquire 34% of Pepkor and 49.9% of Premier Foods. time the proposed acquisitions of majority stakes in Virgin Active and UK retailer New Look signal the start of second chapter, he says. The question many shareholders will be asking is: will the second chapter be as profitable as the first? For Brait executive director John Gnodde, speaking to Moneyweb from London, the answer is a definitive yes. "Chapter one has been good. But from a Brait perspective we are excited about chapter two. What created the potential was investing in businesses with good growth and high cash conversion potential. We bought our assets well in chapter 1 and believe we have bought even better assets now." Brait bought Pepkor for R4bn and sold it for R30bn, effectively a 20x enterprise multiple (enterprise value/ebitda). To put that in perspective, other SA retailers trade on 12x enterprise multiple, which investors believe is rich relative to the market. “Brait sold Pepkor on a rich valuation and used the proceeds to buy good businesses with better than average growth profiles for half the valuation,” says Lonwabo Maqubela, head of research at Perpetua Investment Managers. “This was, I believe, an example of good capital allocation.” Further through these transactions Brait has diversified its net asset value (NAV) both geographically and by business line. Pepkor accounted for 60% of Brait’s valuation. Now the NAV comprises Steinhoff at 20%, New Look 35%, Virgin Active 25%, Premier Food 10%, and the others at 10%. Brait acquired 90% of New Look for £1.9bn (£780m + about £1bn debt) at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 9x – a significant discount to SA retailers. New Look EBITDA grew at 13.8% between 2012 and 2015 and is better than all the South African retailers with the exception of Mr Price (18%) and Pepkor (ebitda growth of 20% pa over the past five This change in strategy has delivered handsome rewards for the investment team and shareholders. Reported NAV per share has grown from R16.50 on 1 April 2011 to R77.12 at 31 March 2015, reflecting a four year CAGR of 47%. In the same period the share price rose from R18.61 to R83.50. The company also entered the MSCI Emerging Markets Index in August last year and the JSE’s Top 40 Index in June this year. The sale of Pepkor for R30 billion in March this year draws to a close Brait’s first chapter since changing its business model, writes company chairman, Jabu Moleketi in the latest annual report. At the same 10 ISSUE 4 – JULY 2015 Figure 1: Source: Datastream