The Hunter 2016 May/June Issue | Page 10

NANA 2016 NDC business outlook is about 17% lower. Most of the drop-off in revenue is tied to the decline in the price of oil—nearly 40% of our business revenue depends on the oil industry, from offshore rig work at GIS in the Gulf of Mexico, to module construction at GIS Alaska, to the camp and security services NMS provides on Alaska’s North Slope. We thought it would be helpful to share some insights with you into what’s happening in the oil industry in Alaska. We contracted with Tim Bradner, a well-respected journalist, to provide a snapshot of Alaska’s history with oil, and what is happening today. Tim has been writing about the resource industry in Alaska since 1966. Helvi K. Sandvik NANA Development Corporation President W e are halfway through our 2016 fiscal year, and the year is proving to be a difficult one for NANA’s businesses. So far, our revenues are about 12% lower than at this same time last year. In our three business sectors, Federal Sector revenue is the same as last year, the Oil & Gas sector is 29% lower and the Commercial Sector What does this mean for NDC? Business is much slower for us in Alaska, and all across the country, as our customers cancel projects and ask for lower prices for the work we do. We are not alone—many companies are struggling with these low oil prices. We are doing what many other companies have done —cut our prices, cut our costs, and cut positions. GIS is now going through its fourth round of layoffs. They are also working hard to look for ways to deliver services to other industries, and have made some progress. When work slows down, not only do we see revenues falling, but we also see a lower number of jobs across the company, which impacts job opportunities for shareholders, especially in Alaska. We are blessed that the Federal Sector that we have been building for the past 20 years is now very strong. Our companies in this group are delivering about half of NDC’s revenues. This year, we are fortunate that we have not had the federal budget issues of the past, and although growth has slowed in the Federal Sector, the steady revenues and earnings from that Sector are important, in a year when our other sectors are challenged. This is a great example of why it has been so important for NANA to develop businesses that are not all dependent on one customer and one geography. Despite our challenges, we know it is important to continue to pay down our debt. We have reduced our debt by $175 million since 2013. This year, we are carefully managing our cash and looking at other ways to reduce our interest expense over time. believe we need a healthy oil industry, but we also know that the Permanent Fund Dividend is important, now and in the future. Our legislators will have to work hard to balance all of the state’s needs with much lower revenues. We recognize that the legislature will most likely need to turn to some of the earnings of the State’s Permanent Fund investments. We have been communicating that, while they work to reduce the cost of government and look for new sources of revenues, it is important that they also preserve a meaningful Permanent Fund Dividend program. As we move forward in 2016, we are working to weather the downturn in oil prices and the economy. At this point, we are expecting revenues in our businesses to be much lower and, despite our cost cutting, we may see a loss in income again this year. But in these times of stress, our businesses are working hard to operate more efficiently. We know we will be ready to take advantage of the upswing in oil prices, which Tim Bradner and others believe will come in the next year or two. Alaska’s state and local governments are also feeling the squeeze from low oil prices. We have been an active part of the discussion in Juneau, where legislators are working to balance the state budget. We If you want to learn more about NDC’s businesses, we post business news almost every day on LinkedIn (www.linkedin.com/ company/nana-development-corporation). ■ All Alaskans are having to tighten their belts. Revenues from oil will improve at some point, but no one knows when. revenues that the ups and downs of state oil revenues were mostly cushioned by the state’s other savings accounts. In the meantime, the North Slope oil companies are delaying drilling and development of new projects and asking contractors, including NANA’s companies, to reduce expenses. One company, Caelus Energy, has delayed development of a small new oilfield, Nuna. Another company, Brooks Range Petroleum, is also delayed in completing work on one other field. BP, a major North Slope field operator, has cut its drill rigs from five to two this year. Most important, the large Alaska LNG Project, which would take North Slope gas to market, may be delayed because of the effects of low oil prices on its sponsor companies, the North Slope producers. WHY DID OIL PRICES DROP SO QUICKLY? If economic activity picks up in the major oil-consuming nations, like China, the oil market will regain stability and prices will begin to increase. There are signs that this is happening, but it is too early to know for sure. The economic recovery is weak in many places. Oil and Alaska’s economy By Tim Bradner Oil fields on the North Slope have provided huge benefits to Alaska over many years. The oil companies pay taxes and royalties to the state, which allowed the state to pay for community buildings and schools across the state, and services like Power Cost Equalization and community revenue-sharing. Since oil was discovered in Alaska, the state’s economy has grown steadily. Directly or indirectly, oil fueled much of this growth. Professor Scott Goldsmith, a University of Alaska economist, says oil pays for about a third of Alaska’s economy either directly through oil field jobs or contracting with service companies, or indirectly