The Farmers Gazette | Page 33

Former Palm Oil Investor Makes $27 Million Cocoa Play Plantation planned for Peru aims to take advantage of long-term decline in West African output A worker holds cocoa beans in Ivory Coast on Nov. 26. While commodities prices have fallen heavily over the past year, cocoa prices have risen to levels not seen since 2011, when they were driven upwards by political upheaval in Ivory Coast, the world’s biggest producer. By KATHERINE DUNN A former palm oil investor is betting $27 million that cocoa prices can only go up. Dennis Melka, a former Credit Suisse banker with a past in the Malaysian palm oil business, is behind a fledgling cocoa plantation in inland Peru that he said would become the world’s largest individual producer of the bean. Mr. Melka said the economics behind the plantation, which won't produce at full maturity until 2021, are clear: to take advantage of what he predicts will be a long-term decline in West African output, the traditional powerhouse of cocoa production, just as emerging markets are developing a taste for chocolate. “Where is the growth in this industry going to come from? In my opinion, the only place it’s going to come from is Latin America,” he said. About 70% of the world’s cocoa comes from West Africa, and nearly 60% comes from just two neighbouring countries: Ivory Coast and Ghana, according to the International Cocoa Organization. But not everyone agrees that production will decline. Alassane Ouattara, President of Ivory Coast, the world’s largest producer, has said the country intends to produce half the world’s beans by 2020, up from 42% last season. These are the words of a politician, of necessity, an optimist. According to the World Cocoa Foundation, cocoa consumption is expected to rise over the next 10 years, potentially leaving room for growth in FARMERS GAZETTE November 2015 31