The Civil Engineering Contractor May 2018 | Page 40

BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE C yril Ramaphosa’s new dawn, as articulated in his inaugural State of the Nation Address (SONA) on 15 February 2018, engenders the spirit of patriotism, nationhood, unity, and optimism. This, after almost a decade of misrule (notwithstanding some notable successes) under the Zuma administration, which marked a departure from Mandela’s vision of building a fair, just, and decent society. A new dawn will be birthed by the citizens’ leap of faith for better things to come, as it will be counterproductive for South Africans to continue closing their eyes while a new beginning is now glimmering on the horizon. But Ramaphosa, as a new torch bearer, must demonstrate his promises of the new dawn by shining the light for all to see that a new era has indeed begun, by acting swiftly on his undertakings to the nation. Even Ramaphosa’s known vociferous critics have suddenly aligned themselves with him as they could not withstand the rising tsunami of cautious optimism among the majority of South Africans, across the racial divide. During the South African Forum of Civil Engineering Contractors (SAFCEC) Annual Gala Dinner on 16 October 2017, at which Ramaphosa, then deputy president, delivered a keynote address, I implored him and the government to address what I saw as the triple challenges to South African state institutions: juniorisation, mediocritisation, and capture of state institutions — I also refer to them as the JMC factor. And indeed, as he is now the new president, he has started dealing effectively with some of the issues at Eskom and SARS and reshuffling the cabinet — although, some who do not inspire confidence remain. If the JMC factor is effectively dealt with, this will, among other things, boost confidence in our economy. The construction industry plays a pivotal role in South Africa’s economic and social development. It provides the physical infrastructure that is the backbone of economic activity. It is also a large-scale provider of employment. According to a 2016 PwC report, the construction industry adds significant value to South Africa and its people. The monetary value received by various stakeholders is often summarised by companies in their value-added statements. Heavy construction employees represented 77% (2015: 83%) of the value created, while, according to the PwC report, the construction sector employs 1.38-million people, either on a contract or permanent basis. The state received 11% (2015: 9%) of value created in the form of direct taxes. However, the reality is that the state receives significantly more, if one considers PAYE and net indirect taxes like VAT. According to the Construction Industry Development Board (cidb) Construction Monitor – Transformation: January 2017 report, there have been Cyril Ramaphosa delivering his first SONA, promising South Africa the start of a new dawn. 38 - CEC May 2018 significant strides in the transformation of the South African construction industry. Details of black ownership of cidb-registered contractors (defined as ownership control of 50% or more) for South Africa are as follows: Around 97% of cidb-registered Grade 2 to 4 General Building (GB) and Civil Engineering (CE) contractors are black owned. Furthermore, an average of 88% of all Grade 5 and 6 GB and CE contractors and around 75% of all Grade 7 and 8 GB and CE contractors are black owned. Black ownership of Grade 9 contractors has improved in GB from 40% to 44%, and in CE from 33% to 37% over the past four quarters. Of concern, however, is that while black ownership representation shows improvement over time, overall, representation has not increased significantly over the past three years in the higher-level grades. The VRP Agreement between the seven construction industry participants and the South African government — as initiated by SAFCEC — aims to accelerate bridging the last gap, at Grade 9 level in particular, over and above the Construction Sector Charter Code, which in itself is progressive. However, black ownership at Grade 9 level in the construction industry is within reach in the new dawn, even within a shorter period than anticipated, if only the VRP Agreement is complemented with the reliable and sustainable roll-out of public infrastructure projects. If we are to learn anything from our BRICS counterparts, it is that their economies grew at higher rates, driven by a strong focus on infrastructure development. At times, the Chinese economy was growing faster, at 10%. It was driven, among other things, by huge investment in infrastructure development. According to the 2012 World Bank Report data, fixed investment as a percentage of some of the BRICS countries’ GDP is as follows: China 47% and India 30%, while South Africa is currently around 20%, which makes it difficult to reach the NDP target of 30% by 2030, without private sector investment. But policy uncertainty, driven by divergent procurement rules by various state