The African Financial Review July-August 2014 | Page 60

Introduction Sub-Sahara African (SSA) countries have implemented a series of economic reforms, including trade liberalization, with the aim of improving on the level of their economic growth. The theoretical motivation for these reforms is that trade liberalization is expected to increase trade, which in turn raises the rate of economic growth. However, the empirical evidence from the large and growing literature on trade and growth remains mixed (Chaudhuri et al. 2008; Chandra et al. 2010; Claustre et al. 2010; Du 2010). Some studies suggest that trade liberalization is not associated with growth while others conclude that trade openness may even retard growth. For example, while Dollar and Kraay (2003) argue that trade openness helps to increase the speed of convergence; the evidence from the study by Easterly (2008) suggests that increased openness to trade has led to income divergence rather than convergence in African countries. In fact, Rodrik (2001) argues that, regarding trade openness and growth, “the only systematic relationship is that countries dismantle trade restrictions as they get richer.” The issue of whether trade and increased openness of trade would lead to higher rates of economic growth is an age-old debate between pro-traders and anti-traders over the years. Early proponents of free trade have lauded the gains from trade through the specialization of countries in the production of goods in which they have comparative advantage and engage in trade and exchange to meet their other needs. But the anti-traders see trade to be the main cause of dumping of goods that have affected the developing countries adversely. New development theorists contend that openness to trade stimulates technological change by increasing domestic rivalry and competition, leading to increased innovation; and that trade liberalization by allowing new goods to flow freely across national borders increases the stock of knowledge for technological innovations which spur growth (Alege, 1993; Ahmed and Sattar, 2004). It has been observed from literature that one of the causes of the limited growth effects of trade liberalization is the weakness of institutions. Indeed, one strand of the literature on growth has argued for the primacy of institutions in economic growth The issue of whether trade and increased openness of trade would lead to higher rates of economic growth is an age-old debate between pro-traders and anti-traders over the years. (Easterly and Levine, 2003; Dollar and Kraay, 2003; Rodrik, Subramanian and Trebbi, 2004). Findings from empirical studies have concluded that institutions are crucial for the success of economic reforms in developing countries (Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson, 2003; Dollar and Kraay, 2003; Addison and Baliamoune-Lutz, 2006). This evidence suggests that the failure of trade reforms to promote trade and growth in sub-Sahara African countries may be attributable to the poor quality of institutions. In a study by Addison and Baliamoune-Lutz (2006) on North African countries, the results from their study show that the growth effects of economic reforms depend to a large extent on the quality of institutions. This paper examines whether this finding can be generalized to all African countries. The paper estimates a growth model including measures of institutional quality and indicators of openness in addition to conventional 60 | The African Financial Review correlates of growth. The paper employs the use of panel data comprising a sample of thirty (30) African countries selected across the regions of sub-Sahara Africa covering the period 19852012. The econometric technique employed for the analysis is the least squares dummy variable (LSDV) and the Generalized Method of moments techniques. Therefore, the objectives of this paper includes; (i) to examine the effect of trade liberalization and institutional quality on economic growth in selected African countries; and (ii) to explore the validity of the theoretical argument that one of the causes for the limited growth effects of trade liberalization is the weakness of institutions in the African continent. The hypothesis formulated in this study stated in the null form is: H0: There is no significant relationship between trade openness and institutions and economic growth in the selected SSA countries. The remaining part of this paper is structured as follows: section II is the literature review and theoretical framework. The next is the methodology in section III. Data analyses and discussion are in section IV. Summary of findings, Recommendations and Conclusion are in section V. Literature review and theoretical framework Economic theory predicts that trade openness should promote trade, which in turn boosts growth in the long run. Theory suggests that trade openness expands trade opportunities, improves efficiency of allocation of resources (towards the most efficient sectors) and accelerates technological development especially through liberalization of imports. It is expected that high-technology imports enhance domestic innovation, thus raising productivity and growth. However, after decades of liberalization experiments in Africa and in developing countries in general, the evidence on the growth effects of trade liberalization remains mixed (Easterly and Levine 2003; Dollar and Kraay 2003; Rodrik et al. 2004). Various arguments have been advanced to explain the limited effects of trade openness on growth. In this review we only stress some of the possible reasons for the weak empirical evidence on the growth effects of trade openness. There has been several studies in the literature that have contributed to a better understanding of the determinants of longrun economic growth by identifying a set of growth-enhancing policies and institutions on top of the traditional influences of physical capital accumulation and human capital in the form of education or health (Solow, 1957; Mankiw et al., 1992; Cohen and Soto, 2007; Aghion et al., 2011). A number of studies stress the importance for economic growth of trade openness (Frankel and Romer, 1999; Wacziarg and Welch, 2008), of the level and the structure of taxation and government expenditures (Easterly and Rebelo, 1993; Lee and Gordon, 2005), of research and development activity (Vandenbussche et al., 2006), of welldeveloped financial markets (King and Levine, 1993; Levine, 2005), of economically friendly institutions or cultural traits (Tavares and Wacziarg, 2001; Djankov et al., 2003; Acemoglu et al., 2005; Aghion et al., 2010). One consensus reached in these studies is the fact that institutions play a great role in bringing about the effect of trade openness to be feasible on economic growth. The theoretical base of this study is premised on the new endogenous growth theory which was developed as a reaction to omissions and deficiencies in the Solow neoclassical growth model. The theory explains the long-run growth rate of an