The African Financial Review July-August 2014 | Page 54

at the same time meeting the latest requirements on quality, traceability, packaging, and standards such as GLOBALGAP[3] or organic might hold the key to good profits (Minot and Ngigi, 2004). Most organic pineapples for the EU market are produced in Ghana with an increasing amount coming from Costa Rica (CBI Market Survey, 2008). Unfortunately, there are no official trade statistics on organic products and there is no data available that shows the development of volumes and values of the world pineapple market divided according to conventional and organic products. However, up to 40% of total pineapple exports from Ghana are organic and/or fair-trade certified. Trade in organic food products differs from trade in other food commodities due to the organic certification requirement. Certification according to regulation (EC) 834/2007 and (EC) 889/2008 is a prerequisite for any producer wishing to export organic produce to the European market. Organic certification requires producers to adopt certain environmental standards, most importantly to refrain from using synthetic inputs. The rapid growth of the organic food sector with an average growth rate of 13% between 2002 and 2006 creates niche market opportunities. The market value was estimated at US$46 billion in 2007 (double the value of 2000), and is expected to increase to US$67 billion by 2012 (UNCTAD, 2008; Willer et al., 2008). In the EU, it is now between 2.5 and 4.5% of total food sales. For organic pineapples market growth has been even larger. The permission to use ethylene for flower induction in organic production in 2005 played an important role in the high growth rates in the organic pineapple market. Taken as a whole, Europe is the largest market for organic products. This likely holds for the organic pineapple market as well, although the available data is very imprecise and Africa had been Europe’s major supplier of fresh pineapples until it was replaced by Central America. often out-dated. According to estimations by the Sustainable Markets Intelligence Centre (CIMS), the European market for organic pineapple was about five times the size of the US market in 2004.[4] However, not only the growing demand makes organic cultivation attractive for producers. Some studies explain the growing interest in organic agriculture in developing countries also by the fact that it requires less financial input and places more reliance on the natural and human resources available (Willer et al., 2008 amongst others). Hence, it is worthwhile to analyze if swit ching from conventional to organic production might indeed result in higher profits for farmers. As a starting point, integration of the two markets is evaluated by looking at the price developments for organic compared to conventional pineapple. Conceptual Background Consumers who buy organic products do so because of their perceived superior attributes. To the best of my knowledge an 3 4 GLOBALGAP is a private standard founded in 1997 as EurepGAP by European retailers. It is a business-to-business standard with the aim to establish one standard for Good Agricultural Practices (GAP).Many of the large European retail and food service chains, producers/suppliers are members (www.globalgap.org). The US National Organic Program allowed the use of ethylene gas for flower induction in pineapple in 2002, the EU only in 2005. We therefore expect that this difference is even larger today. 54 | The African Financial Review integrative theory that explains the cobehaviour of two markets for the same product but with different hedonic characteristics is lacking and therefore I apply relevant pieces from various backgrounds. I primarily use hedonic demand theory to formalize the relation between conventional and organic prices in order to provide an analytical framework for the interpretation of empirical results. The hedonic approach disaggregates commodities into characteristics and estimates implicit values for units of the characteristics. The hedonic price function p(z) specifies how the market price (p) of the commodity varies as its characteristics Up to the late 1990s, the EU market was dominated by pineapples from West Africa, especially from Côte d’Ivoire. (z) vary (Ladd and Suvannunt, 1976) assuming that utility is derived from the properties or characteristics of goods. We focus on one attribute of interest only, the organic nature of a product, which is otherwise homogeneous. Then, the hedonic demand function is derived from standard maximization of a consumers’ utility function which results in a vector of implicit prices of each property (Rosen, 1974; Epple, 1987) Our case is a simple hedonic model, where the number of characteristics is fixed and z has only two values; let z = 1 if a product is organic and z = 0 otherwise. We add a time dimension for the price, which depends on past prices of the good in both states (organic and conventional) and other hedonic characteristics of the good. Other hedonic characteristics are time invariant. Hence if organic pineapple is on average yellower from the outside in time t=1, this is also the case in all other periods. In addition, if information is imperfect, rational consumers gather information about a characteristic if the marginal cost of obtaining the information is smaller than or equal to the marginal utility it generates (Combris et al., 1997). Accordingly consumers may decide to make their choice primarily on the basis of the easily accessible characteristics, for instance size and certification status. This limits the number of relevant characteristics. Since the status of z, the variety and the price are easy to assess, we ignore other product characteristics, i.e. we assume that they do not differ systematically between our groups of interest. These simplifications make it easier to estimate the value of the organic attribute, which can then be approximated by the price difference between organic and conventional pineapple of the same variety[5]. We derive a number of hypotheses from the above described hedonic price theory, but also drawing on other theories such as the goal-based model (van Osselaer et al., 2012). Conclusions As the demand for organic products is growing, this paper has tried to shed light on the longer-term profitability of organic production. Taking hedonic demand theory as basis, we empirically analyzed spatial price transmission between organic and conventional pineapple on the world’s largest organic market 5 Furthermore, we ignore the household budget constraint because, by focusing on the organic pineapple price premium, we touch such a tiny part of the overall household budget that we can safely assume the constraint to be non-binding. Hence, we refer to the case in which households have identical incomes and characteristics, and different tastes.