The African Financial Review July-August 2014 | Page 27
1. Exchange rates should be used to rebalance the economic
growth:
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In countries where the terms of trade deteriorated, real exchange
rates will have to depreciate to preserve macroeconomic stability.
Countries with exchange rate flexibility should let the nominal
exchange rate depreciate while keeping fiscal and monetary
policies sufficiently tight to avoid devaluation –inflation spiral.
2. Need for Judicious use of the fiscal space
Fiscal responses should be tailored to specific country
circumstances. There may be scope for a fiscal stimulus in some
countries but, in many other countries, this option may not be
available due to already weakened fiscal positions and concerns
regarding fiscal sustainability. In some countries, there may even
be a need for fiscal consolidation. In all cases, spending plans
should be cast in a medium-term context, with targeted measures
to protect the most vulnerable.
3. Need to monitor the balance sheets of financial institutions
Governments of African countries should identify the
vulnerabilities of the banking system and plan how they will
react should a banking crisis erupt. The liquidity and usability of
reserve assets, the status of non-performing loans in the banking
sector and the availability of trade credit deserve some particular
attention.
4. Focus on Medium-term goals
The gloomy environment puts an even higher premium on
keeping African economies in a stable form. It is now important
to make every effort to move ahead with the planned structural
reforms. The current crisis should be seen as an opportunity to
foster domestic consensus for urgently needed reforms in Africa.
References
Balogun ED (2009): ‘Determinants of West African Monetary
Zone (WAMZ) Countries Global Export Trade: Do Foreign
Reserves and Independent Exchange Rates Matter?’ Nigerian J.
Securities Financ..14(1):61-76
CBN (2009): Statement of Account: Quarterly Report. Central
Bank of Nigeria. 12:29-42
IMF (1990): The monetary approach to balance of payment.
International Monetary Funds. Washington DC p.18
IMF (2009): Perspectives on Development.
Takatoshi K (2009): What the Global Financial Crisis Means
For Sub-Saharan Africa. A keynote address delivered at the 12th
African Union (AU) Summit of Heads of State and Government
that took place on February 3rd, 2009 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Tella SA (2009): The Economic Crisis and Nigerian Stock market:
Issues on Contagion. Nigerian J. Securities Financ.14 (1): 101-116.
World Bank (2009): World Bank Indicators for 2009.
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