The African Financial Review July-August 2014 | Page 11

M any central banks around the world have provided several policy prescriptions to tackle the effects of the recent global financial crisis. Many of these policy responses have been directed at satisfying the domestic mandate of maintaining price stability. The emerging literature has pointed out that the suspicions of remarkable increase in the central bank balance sheets would lead to higher inflation at the consumer level have so far proven unfounded. This may be due to the fact that some of the countries have not fully recovered from the crisis or well-anchored inflation expectations have mediated the effects. However, it has been argued that an extended period of too easy monetary policy is manifesting itself in excessive risk taking, bubbles in certain asset classes and price pressures can ultimately lead to higher inflation. Therefore, the possible effects of financial crisis on the dynamics of inflation have occupied the attention of many economists, central bankers, policy makers and practitioners. Banking crisis points to a situation where bank runs and widespread failures induce banks to suspend the convertibility of their liabilities, or which compels the government to intervene in the banking system on a large scale (IMF, 1998). In Africa, banking crises have become increasingly common (Goldstein and Turner, 1996) and more than 120 countries in the world have experienced banking crises (Laeven and Valencia, 2010). Large scale banking sector crises has raised wide spread concern as it disrupts the flow of credit to households and enterprises, reducing investment and consumption and possibly forcing viable firms into bankruptcy (Demirgüç- Kunt et al., 1998). Once banking crises start, it spreads to other sectors in the economy. If problems in one bank are made public, depositors get scared and withdraw their money from the bank. This may cause the bank to fail, which generates bigger headlines, and scares even more depositors, who then withdraw their funds and more banks stand a chance of failing which eventually leads to massive run on the banks. Also, the crises are often preceded by prolonged periods of high credit growth which is often associated with large imbalances in the balance sheets of the private sector, such as maturity mismatches or exchange rate risk, this ultimately translates into credit risk for the banking sector (Laeven and Valencia, 2010). Moreover, banking crises affect output, investment, employment and key monetary indicators in an economy and thus complicates the conduct of monetary policy because it destabilizes money demand, money multipliers and diminishes the effectiveness of monetary instruments in an economy (GarciaHerrero, 1997). Despite the fact that this type of crises may lead to substantial drag on aggregate economic activities an B6