The African Business Review May-Jun 2014 | Page 38

Table 1. Global FDI flow (inward) as a percentage of GDP (1970-2010). 1970- 1975- 1980- 1985- 1990- 199574 79 84 89 94 99 World 100 100 100 100 100 100 2000- 2005- Average 04 10 100 100 100 Developing Economies 22.50 27.59 31.95 18.74 28.87 31.74 27.24 36.53 28.27 Africa 6.55 3.94 2.61 2.48 2.15 1.61 2.47 3.99 3.22 Developed Economies 77.49 72.41 68.03 81.24 69.45 66.91 69.01 64.51 71.13 America 24.64 26.47 36.68 42.25 20.74 24.78 18.83 17.71 26.51 Europe 44.99 40.75 26.88 33.68 44.31 39.11 46.15 37.93 39.23 Asia LDCs* 4.51 0.92 10.59 1.501 18.34 0.86 9.95 0.48 19.62 0.69 18.61 0.64 16.87 1.31 22.47 1.75 15.16 1.000 Source: Author’s Computation from UNCTADSTAT, 2011.*= :Less Developed Countries. selected countries in Africa. Flows of FDI This subsection is further divided into three parts. The first part discusses FDI’s flow on the global perspective; a brief historical exposition of FDI into both developed and developing regions of the world would be analyzed. The second aspect of this subsection focuses majorly on developing countries while the last part would be dedi- cated to selected countries in Africa. Global FDI flow From Table 1, developed economies had continually had the largest share of the global flow. The reasons attributed to this cannot be far fetched from the well developed and organized infrastructure as well as stable government policies. It is not surprising why the deve- loping countries were only able to attract about 28 per cent of the total flow despite the established policies to attract FDI inflow. Another reason could be linked to their inability to adequately provide pre-requisite deter-minants of FDI (that is, infrastructure, well functioning institutions, and stable policies to mention but few). Classifying the flow into regions, Europe recorded the lion’s share. Since the beginning of 1975, its share had been on an increasing trend and this is after about 50 percent fall in the previous decade. It recorded an overall 39 per cent of the total flow. Closely followed was America; all through the period under study, its share had been relatively stable with an overall average of about 27 per cent. The existence of the “Asian Tigers” helped the region to record about 15 per cent. Its share was not stable prior to 1990 after which it had been recording an increasing trend. The reason attributed to this can be linked to diversification of American MNEs to the region due to its low labour cost, thus leading to industrialization in the region. The distribution of the flow has been biased towards Africa. This pattern remains palpable in spite of policy initiatives in a number of African countries and the significant improvements in the factors governing FDI flows. These factors include, but are not restricted to, economic reform, democratization, privatization and enduring peace and stability. The possible reason for this can be related to the fact that FDI flow to countries in the region which can boast of natural endowments (Oil and Agricultural product). The end result of this is that only few countries (about 25 per cent) can be classified as countries that receive a relatively 38 | The African Business Review reasonable amount of FDI. Therefore, this means that major FDI inflows into Africa are resource seeking FDI. Regional distribution of FDI Table 2 clearly depicts that the larger share of the flow to developing countries was recorded in the Asian countries. The region was able to attract over half of the total global flow to Why does FDI impact positively on the growth process of the Asian Tigers but negatively in the African context? Why do non-Asian Tiger countries (Brazil, Malaysia, and India) record positive effects of FDI on growth and countries in most of SSA do not? Could the answer to these questions be linked to a well-developed financial market? developing countries. The highest flow ever recorded was in the period between 1985 and 1994 with a share value of about 60 per cent and after a decline, it has been stable. Asia was able to attract a weighted average of about 53 per cent. America sits on the second step of the ladder with a share value of about 32 per cent. Its share had been stable expcept for the mid to end of 19th century. Africa continent as a whole was only able to attract a meagre share. Throughout the period under study, it was unable to attract 10 per cent of the total flow. The reasons that can be attributed to this might be related to political instability, inconsistent policies, and poor infrastructure among others. The same reasons explained above can also be attributed to the case of LDCs. These set of countries experienced a relatively stable share of the flow and was able to record an average of 4 per cent. In the same line of reasoning, Oceania countries did extremely poor as it was unable to attract a per cent share of the total flow. Distance, they say, enhances trade. As a result of this, investors would be skeptical in investing in regions that are far from the rest of the world. FDI and growth nexus With particular reference to growth, the record in Africa, on average, has been at best less than modest. Even th HX