The African Business Review Jan-Feb 2014 | Page 15

Box 1: Margins well above the banking sector average Nominal interest rates on loans in sub-Saharan Africa average 20% (for the period 2008–2010)4, well above the global average of 13%. With the exception of Central Asia (24%), no other region of the world achieves the average rates recorded in Central Africa (34%), West Africa (19%) or East Africa (19%). The same applies to real interest rates on loans, which average 10% in sub-Saharan Africa (for 2008–2010), compared to a global average of 7%, and less than 5% in most developed markets. Net interest margins – more revealing because they isolate the impact of refinancing costs – follow the same pattern. Central Africa, followed by West Africa and then East Africa, have the highest margins in the world (7.2% on average across sub-Saharan Africa, compared with 3.5% worldwide). If we also include non-interest revenues (commission, etc.) in the calculations – what is equivalent to calculating the average rate attached to a banking asset – the levels attained by the African banking sectors look even more impressive. Banking assets in sub-Saharan Africa generate average revenues of 12%. These rates can be as high as 20% in countries like Malawi, Sierra Leone and the Congo.   Figure 1: Return on equity in Africa’s banking sector (2007–2010) Figure 2: Return on equity in the banking sector worldwide (%) (2007–2010)   recorded in Africa: they are among the highest in the world at 1.4%, just behind Latin America (1.6%). These profitability levels reflect the margin levels African markets are able to absorb (see box 1). Potential far from saturated As well as being very profitable, the African banking sector also offers real potential for growth. Sub-Saharan Africa has the world’s least developed financial sector. Excluding South Africa, its banking sector is around one tenth the size of China’s leading bank and comparable 3. 4. in size to Germany’s tenth largest bank. Even taking GDP differences into account, Africa’s financial sector remains highly under-developed, with a bank usage rate5 lower than 20%, by far the lowest in the world6, and a penetration rate of around 30% – less than half the average for other developing nations. Local banks are therefore missing out on a high proportion of their markets’ economic activity. In addition to its potential for growth, the banking sector also has significant potential for improving productivity. Most African banks are small-scale operations, relatively inefficient because they are not able to generate economies of Moreover, these figures understate the real profitability levels of foreign banks operating in Africa, since they are influenced by the performance of Africa’s large state banks, which can have large market shares and very poor profitability. All the averages in this paragraph are calculated over the period 2008-2010, except where otherwise stated, for sub-Saharan Africa with the exception of South Africa, the Seychelles and Mauritius. The African Business Review | 15