Test Drive | Page 14

  Executive  summary   About  the  project   The   goal   of   the   project   is   to   develop   policy   relevant   recommendations   for   the   Dutch   Embassy   in   Sana’a,   Yemen,  for  the  prevention  and  the  resolution  of  water-­‐related  conflicts,  by  assessing  the  political  economy  of   water  governance  in  Yemen.       Water  governance  is  a  complex  and  inherently  political  process  with  assumed  game-­‐changing  potential.  It  may   prevent  an  acute  water  crisis  from  turning  into  a  large-­‐scale  violent  conflict,  or  it  may  exacerbate  the  situation   further.  Water  scarcity  in  Yemen  is  a  human  security  threat.  According  to  unofficial  estimates,  2,500  people  die   annually   as   a   result   of   water-­‐related   conflicts.   Therefore,   prevention   and   adaptation   strategies   are   needed   for   the   local,   regional,   and   national   level   that   are   based   on   a   robust   understanding   of   the   various   sources   of   insecurity,  their  interdependency  and  cumulative  conflict  potential.     Water  issues  are  complex  because  of  the  intricate  coupling  with  multiple  issues  within  the  natural  and  societal   domains.  Water  gov ernance  must  take  into  account  uncertainties  due  to  incomplete  knowledge,  uncertainty   induced   through   conflicting   views   on   the   problems   and   possible   solutions,   and   unpredictable   behaviour   of   the   physical,  social-­‐economic  and  political  systems.       In   this   project,   we   developed   an   analytical   framework   to   analyse   the   political   economy   and   the   conflict   dimensions  of  water  governance  in  Yemen.  Key  components  of  this  framework  are:     1. Context   and   contextual   changes:   How   are   the   conflicts   embedded   in   the   local   physical,   socio-­‐ economic,   political   and   legal-­‐institutional   contexts?   Do   these   contexts   lessen,   intensify,   shape   and  distribute  the  conflict?  Have  contextual  changes  triggered  or  caused  the  conflict?     2. Stakeholder   analysis:   Who   are   the   relevant   stakeholders   in   the   conflict?   What   are   their   interests?   What  practices  are  stakeholders  using  to  pursue  their  interests?       3. Dispute  regulation  mechanisms:  Which  conflict  resolutions  are  tried  and  why?  Which  resolutions  are   not  tried?   Local  experts  conducted  in-­‐depth  individual  interviews  and  group  discussions  on  nine  actual  conflicts  in  three   areas  across  Yemen.  The  areas  were  chosen  to  represent  a  cross-­‐section  of  the  different  geo-­‐hydrological  and   socio-­‐economic  contexts:     • Competition  over  groundwater  in  the  highlands  (Sana’a  basin);     • Conflicts  over  surface  water  in  ephemeral  rivers  (Wadi  Siham);     • Peri-­‐urban  competition  (Ta’izz).     Findings   Water  management  in  Yemen   Yemen  has  a  long  history  of  suffering  from  water  scarcity,  which  laid  the  foundation  for  the  agricultural  norms   and   traditions   to   regulate   water   distribution,   maintenance   of   the   irrigation   infrastructure,   and   dispute   resolution  mechanisms.  In  the  areas  under  research,  the  people  mainly  rely  on  traditional  rules  (Urf)  and  other   agreements   to   regulate   the   rights   and   restrictions   with   regard   to   water   access,   use   and   distribution.   These   rules   are   unwritten   and   are   specific   to   the   areas   covered   by   the   assessment   since   there   may   be   other   rules   outside  these  areas.  The  rules  specific  to  this  assessment  concern  three  sources  of  water.     The Political Economy in Yemen of Water Management: Conflict Analysis and Recommendations  1  of  241