Senwes Scenario February / March 2019 | Page 20

AGRICULTURAL Which factors result in the marginalisation of land? When this article was written, 7 January 2019, crop plantings had taken a serious knock due to the lack of rain and intense heat waves. Natural grazing has been damaged severely and will take a long time to recover. The extent of this scenario is significantly worse than previous droughts. Financial challenges faced by producers involved their monthly running expenses and credit engagements.  By Petrus van Staden Senwes Senior Agronomist, Ian Bothma SGS: Area Manager, Free State and Northern Cape & Boet van Zyl Senwes Senior Agricultural Economist H opefully the long-term average rainfall from February to April still posed possibilities. The outstanding characteristic of farmers is that they always come up with a solution. Core business involves a producer who wants to be in full production again during the coming season (2019/20). Any current planting action would be absolutely limited to: Financial survival if there is no other way out; Food for the animals; Limitation of wind erosion in the spring; Preparation for the planting of maize. On fields that received pre-planting fertiliser, but were not planted, the chemical status can be checked. PARADIGMSHIFT Due to the drought producers were forced to limit emotion and sentiment in the decision-making process to an absolute minimum. The instability relating to climate and rainfall forces everyone to reconsider the impact of global warming. Every producer will have to make sure that he/she knows what the potential impact will be on his/ her farming system. The financial impact requires action. “...your business has to adjust continuously in order to survive economically and to remain competitive. Stagnation is not an option...” (Dr. Johan Willemse, LWB 4-11 January 2019). What can the producer do to produce in these difficult production and economic conditions sustainably? There is no instant solution - the circumstances of every producer are unique. Focus on the aspects in your business which you can control (natural resources, production costs etc.). This is an introductory article and we will attempt to do an investigation into the abovementioned factors during the year. 18 SENWES SCENARIO | MIND-SHIFT 2019