Senwes Scenario August/September 2018 | Page 18

AGRICULTURAL Maize production Calculate your yield potential for upcoming season for risk management purposes  By Cobus Burger SGS NviroCrop – Business Manager Y ield potential for dryland maize are influenced by several fac- tors, of which the following three aspects can be highlighted as the main information needed to calculate crop potential for upcoming season:  Soil type combined with soil moisture before the season’s plantings start;  Status of top- and subsoil (40 cm depth) fertility;  Selected plant population. Soil type explain the variation in soil properties and it is then used in a potential model per district or area. The model was developed and calibrated over a period of 20 years and is unique to NviroCrop within the SGS group. Here follows an example of some soils with their calculated maize potential, with the assumption that the soils nutrient sta- tus is a good average: Avalon-soil type in the Western Free State (Hoopstad) Yellow Apedal soil horizon down to 70 cm and then a variable water table (Soft plin­ tic) to 180 cm. Profile wet before planting = 8.6 tons/ha Profile half dry before planting = 5.7 tons/ha Hutton-soil type in Northwest (Coligny) Red Brown Apedal soil horizon down to 170 cm and then stone. Profile wet before planting = 6.6 tons/ha Profile dry before planting = 3.8 tons/ha (deep soils is not always a benefit when profiles are dry before planting. In this example a not so deep soil profile of 120cm Hutton soil type would have had a better crop potential for upcoming season). Soil fertility change quickly under certain climatic conditions linked to removal by the crop, sometimes more than we expect and may lower your production in difficult years. The past 5 x years we experienced some extremely dry seasons during which our crops root systems more likely fed in the subsoil (40-50 cm) than in the more fertile topsoil during wetter seasons. The 2016/17 season we experienced well dis- tributed rain fall during the second part of the growing season and the previous year’s buildup of nutrients had been effec- tively utilized by the crop. The maize in general responded well to this available fertility and above average yields were the result. The risk is now, that during a mid-summer drought the pres- ence of poor subsoil chemistry, reduce yields. Sampling in top soil well as sub soil is recommended, to understand the given risks for upcoming seasons crop. The following graph deviate from the standard nutrient removal curve that everyone knows, to a graph that presents the percentage of a nutrient that must be stored in the crop during a specific grow- ing stage, so that the crop can produce optimal. The curve is much more insightful when it comes to understanding why a crop is producing good or bad yields. Growth stages of maize vs nutrient uptake curve V: Vegetative growth stage 16 SENWES SCENARIO | SPRING 2018 R: Reproductive growth stage