SAEVA Proceedings 2014 | Page 152

152   46TH  ANNUAL  CONGRESS  OF  THE  SAEVA        SKUKUZA      16-­‐20  FEBRUARY  2014     (v) Abortion predicted increased effort and month of breeding to establish pregnancy, but not becoming pregnant or foaling. EED was shown to predict all outcomes. Interestingly, EHV-1 infection in the previous season was not detrimental to any of the measured reproductive outcomes, such as cumulative pregnancies and the percentage of live foals born the following season. It revealed some interesting observations that reflected the complexity of the interactions that probably occur between multiple risk factors that underlie the establishment of pregnancy and subsequently pregnancy loss. For example, using our model, a five year-old maiden mare that had suffered just one EED incident had a significantly lower predicted probability of successfully foaling when she was compared with a 15-year-old foaling mare that did not suffer EED. This example showed how other factors, such as EED, can modify the likelihood of a mare producing a viable foal. Conclusions In conclusion, development of a predictive model for important outcomes enhanced the understanding of complex interactions and relative influences of various reproductive variables. Risk factors will help us to identify individual animals with a higher probability of not producing a foal each year and additionally, in late pregnancy progress has been made over recent years both in identifying mares that suffer from placentitis and furthermore instigating treatment to support the delivery of a viable foal. Identifying the causes of EED is a great challenge and we can speculate that a significant proportion of cases of EED probably arise due to gross chromosomal defects of the conceptus, however we have limited knowledge on their frequency. Irrespective of the underlying cause, treatment for EED routinely used in practice is progestin supplementation. This strategy however remains undefined as although a low incidence of luteal insufficiency in early pregnancy has been reported, recently altrenogest was reported to have a positive influence retarded conceptus development in older (but not younger) mares with normal luteal function. Two important questions remain: first, what are the major causes of pregnancy failure in the well-managed Thoroughbred mare; and secondly, can failing pregnancies be successfully rescued with therapeutic methods? References 1. Allen, WR, Brown, L, Wright, M and Wilsher, S (2007) Reproductive efficiency of Flatrace and National Hunt Thoroughbred mares and stallions in England. Equine Veterinary Journal 39, 438-445 2. Bosh, KA, Powell, D, Neibergs, JS, Shelton, B and Zent, W (2009) Impact of reproductive efficiency over time and mare financial value on economic returns among Thoroughbred mares in central Kentucky. Equine Veterinary Journal 41, 889-894 3. De Mestre, A (2013) Reproductive failure in horses: identifying the problem. Veterinary Record 172(2): 42-43   152