SA Affordable Housing July - August 2019 // Issue: 77 | Page 30

INDUSTRY MATTERS Sanitation innovation – the key to Africa's development strategy By 2063, Africa will constitute 30% of the global population with three billion inhabitants, more than doubling the current population of 1.25 billion. By Dhesigen Naidoo, Water Research Commission 28 JULY - AUGUST 2019 T he demographic dividend, new production revolution, shifting wealth patterns, accelerated urban transition, climate change and the green economy are the megatrends that will influence this continent's future, claims the latest analysis in the ‘Africa's development dynamics - growth, jobs and inequalities’ report, compiled by the African Union Commission in partnership with the OECD. With more than double the population, Africa will have the most youthful population in the world. What we do now will determine if this calculates into a demographic dividend or a demographic burden. For an already underserviced continent with respect to basic needs of water, sanitation, energy, health and nutritional security; the prospect of a doubling of the population in the next half century is daunting. We are rapidly reaching, and in some cases exceeding, the planetary boundary conditions on the one hand and have the objective to ensure universal access to these basic services and facilitating economic growth on the other. But as Pliny the Elder (Roman author, naturalist and natural philosopher), remarks, ‘Ex Africa semper aliquid novi’ or ‘there’s always something new coming out of Africa’. Africa can pioneer global sustainable development, not despite but precisely because of its current low industrialisation levels. This means while the global north must invest in the high cost retrofitting to switch from the current high carbon, water intensive, waste producing economic model; Africa can leapfrog directly into the sustainable development paradigm. She already has a wonderful example of this leapfrogging with mobile telephony which has provided proliferated access to hundreds of millions of Africans while saving most of connected Africa from the eyesore of millions The Arumloo is one of the various projects the WRC has been involved in developing a toilet that uses a two-litre flush and is based on different design principles. kilometres of high maintenance and aesthetically challenging overhead telephone wire networks. Another of the critical domains that has this possibility is sanitation. The current African backlog, which is primarily in sub- Saharan Africa, is estimated at 570 million people who don’t yet have access to improved sanitation, and if we are to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal for sanitation, this situation must be reversed by 2030. This is in an environment of increased water scarcity and although the IMF in its Regional Economic Outlook report pegs a continued recovery, there is still a low growth rate forecast at 3.5% in 2019. In addition, this is a region with low energy access and security. The International Energy Agency (IEA) in its Energy Access Outlook 2017 concluded that 95% of 1.1 billion people without access to electricity are in sub-Saharan African countries. These are difficult boundary conditions. It will take high levels of innovation, creativity www.saaffordablehousing.co.za