Russia Market Briefing 2014 | Page 16

russia_russia 16/01/2014 09:43 Page 9 MARKET FOCUS Pay-TV household penetration was 58% at end-June, with iKS-Consulting forecasting that it will reach 68% in 2018. iKS-Consulting suggests that Cable TV remains the most popular technology, accounting for more than half of all subscribers. However, despite the ongoing construction of networks, the share of cable TV is gradually reducing, as satellite TV and IPTV out-grow the market. iKS-Consulting estimates that in 2018 the share of satellite TV will reach 39% and the share of IPTV will be 12%, with cable TV making up the remaining 49%. According to Sergey Stavropoltsev, commercial director, Tricolor TV, the Russian pay-TV market will keep growing for another three or four years. He told Access Intelligence’s Mark Holmes that there were several significant drivers for such growth. “The public digitalisation programme has artificially created a new competitive field. It has changed the rules of the game. The first multiplex became a mustcarry for all cable and satellite operators. Tricolor TV provided TV channels of the first multiplex (federal channels) to its subscribers free of charge in previous years, that’s why such a change of rules of the game has not influenced us at all, but small cable operators were compelled to restructure their operations. Furthermore, many cable operators started with analogue television, and now digitalization takes place throughout the world. The market currently changes over from traditional cable television, which dominated the market for a long time to more advanced formats like satellite television and IPTV.” Tricolor TV plans expansion Tricolor TV says it will expand services via new additional capacity aboard the ABS-2 satellite, as and when it comes on stream later in 2014. ABS-2 is currently being built by Space Systems/Loral, and when launched later in 2014, will provide extra capacity from 75 degrees East, covering the whole of Russia up to the Arctic Circle. Tricolor is already transmitting on a satellite at 56 degrees East (Bonum-1) and 36 degrees East (Eutelsat W4). Eastern Europe Pay-TV Market Forecast, Selected Markets Market Name Estonia Latvia Lithuania Russia Belarus Estonia Latvia Lithuania Russia Belarus Estonia Latvia Lithuania Russia Belarus Estonia Latvia Lithuania Russia Belarus Metric 2013 2018 TV Households (actual) TV Households (actual) TV Households (actual) TV Households (actual) TV Households (actual) Multichannel Subscribers (actual) Multichannel Subscribers (actual) Multichannel Subscribers (actual) Multichannel Subscribers (actual) Multichannel Subscribers (actual) Multichannel Revenue ($000) Multichannel Revenue ($000) Multichannel Revenue ($000) Multichannel Revenue ($000) Multichannel Revenue ($000) Digital TV Connections (actual) Digital TV Connections (actual) Digital TV Connections (actual) Digital TV Connections (actual) Digital TV Connections (actual) 584,086 1,061,756 1,231,469 50,474,239 3,759,689 482,946 852,281 736,600 26,470,141 2,430,458 109,400 203,037 82,477 2,772,658 229,395 545,569 1,101,915 1,063,576 27,672,067 1,360,580 581,031 1,057,779 1,226,856 50,853,299 3,970,315 521,348 971,622 830,497 32,951,313 2,662,031 143,348 292,514 142,621 5,486,393 283,156 576,261 1,196,013 1,394,729 50,842,263 2,346,205 CAGR (%) 2013-2018 -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 4.5% 1.8% 5.6% 7.6% 11.6% 14.6% 4.3% 1.1% 1.7% 5.6% 12.9% 11.5% Tricolor currently uses 22 transponders in total: 16 for broadcasting in the European part of Russia, and six for broadcasting in Siberia. The operator is expecting huge demands for satellite capacity over the next few years. “We have already signed the agreement to lease satellite © 2014 SNL Kagan, a division of SNL Financial LC, estimates. All rights reserved. Former CIS profiles Belarus Estonia Latvia Lithuania Russia Ukraine TV households (000) 2012 2018 3,501 3,564 554 568 867 888 1,351 1,383 51,154 52,394 17,439 17,861 Source: Digital TV Research 16 RUSSIA Briefing Digital TV households (000) 2012 2018 1,253 3,030 554 568 650 888 765 1,356 22,275 50,298 6,198 17,861 Pay TV households (000) 2012 2018 2,421 2,748 460 492 674 745 709 826 23,554 32,327 3,865 5,251 Pay TV revenues $m 2012 2018 175 226 56 68 83 93 91 116 1,254 2,217 356 651 capacity on the Express AT1 and Express AT2 satellites,” Sergey Stavropoltsev, Commercial Director, Tricolor TV told Via Satellite. “We will gain capacity in Siberia that is four times the level of available capacity now. We shall also begin to work in the Far East, where Tricolor TV is currently not present. In my opinion, we will have three times more satellite capacity at the end of 2017 than what we have now, but it may still not be enough.”