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CTRM for Ags & Softs
Corn
Corn has gained increasing attention in recent years.While historically, and most commonly, viewed
as animal feed or human food source in its granular form, corn has also been processed and used to
manufacture hundreds if not thousands of other food or industrial products, including flours, oils,
starch, alcohol, sweeteners, plastics and, increasingly, motor fuels.
Overview
Although the United States dominates world corn trade, exports account for a relatively small portion of demand for U.S.
corn--about 15 percent. This low demand for exports means that corn prices are largely determined by supply-anddemand relationships in the U.S. market, and the rest of the world must adjust to prevailing U.S. prices. The high
influence of U.S. corn supply makes world corn trade and prices dependent on weather in the U.S. Corn Belt. Because
Argentina, the second-largest corn exporter in most years, is in
World Corn Trade - USDA
the Southern Hemisphere, Argentine farmers plant their corn
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
after discovering the size of the U.S. crop, thereby providing a
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
quick, market-oriented supply response to short U.S. crops. TY Exports
Argentina
16,501
22,789
12,846
18,442
Several countries--including Brazil, Ukraine, Romania, and
Brazil
12,674
26,044
22,041
21,909
South Africa--have had significant corn exports when crops
Burma
200
550
700
850
European Union
3,287
2,193
2,401
4,000
were large or international prices attractive.
Production
Corn Production 20141/15 – 1000 Metric Tons
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
United States
China
Brazil
EU-27
Ukraine
361,091
215,500
75,000
74,160
28,450
China has been a significant source of uncertainty in world
corn trade, swinging from being the second-largest exporter in
some years to occasionally importing significant quantities.
China's corn exports are largely a function of government
export subsidies and tax rebates, because corn prices in China
are mostly higher than those in the world market. Large corn
stocks are expensive for the government to maintain, and
Chinese corn export policy has fluctuated with little relationship
to the country's production, making China's corn trade difficult
to predict.
World corn trade peaked in 1980/81, driven in large part by
significant growth in imports to the former Soviet Union and
European nations.However, with the collapse of the Soviets
and thedevelopment of the European Union, crops grown
within those geographic regions are now being directed with
their jurisdictions, and global trade outside those areas has
declined.
However, during the 1990s and the early part of the twentyfirst century, increasing demand for meat-based proteins has
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India
Paraguay
Russia
Serbia
South Africa
Ukraine
Others
Subtotal
United States
World Total
TY Imports
Algeria
Canada
Chile
China
Colombia
Cuba
Dominican
Republic
Egypt
European Union
Guatemala
Indonesia
Iran
Israel
Japan
Kenya
Korea, South
Malaysia
Mexico
Morocco
Peru
Saudi Arabia
Taiwan
Tunisia
Venezuela
Vietnam
Others
Subtotal
Unaccounted
United States
World Total
4,674
2,188
2,027
2,331
1,831
15,157
4,470
65,340
38,342
103,682
4,768
2,858
1,917
601
2,398
12,726
5,421
82,265
18,262
100,527
3,889
2,714
4,192
1,736
2,104
20,004
6,839
79,466
50,684
130,150
1,100
3,012
3,200
2,900
745
19,800
9,537
85,495
46,773
132,268
3,231
747
906
5,231
3,209
743
1,054
7,154
6,113
691
1,724
4,000
1,221
14,892
400
7,636
3,309
11,172
1,943
1,772
1,816
4,341
853
2,596
1,600
12,335
100,689
2,228
765
103,682
2,918
493
844
2,702
3,266
911
1,046
5,059
11,362
678
2,719
3,700
1,224
14,412
100
8,174
3,048
5,676
1,684
2,254
2,063
4,232
846
2,154
1,700
11,620
94,885
1,377
4,265
100,527
4,156
679
1,456
3,277
4,436
928
1,011
8,726
15,919
767
3,501
5,500
1,652
15,121
800
10,406
3,476
10,954
2,349
2,232
2,684
4,189
993
2,626
2,800
13,737
124,375
5,048
727
130,150
4,116
1,500
1,400
5,516
4,400
900
1,100
7,800
8,700
850
3,200
6,200
1,300
14,656
900
10,179
3,400
11,269
2,000
2,700
3,000
4,200
1,050
2,000
3,500
14,562
120,398
11,061
809
132,268
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