Reports Disruptive Technologies in Commodity Trading | Page 5

Disruptive Technologies in Commodity Trading Markets A ComTechAdvisory Report AN INDUSTRY BUFFETED BY CHANGE In the last decade, the commodities industry has been experiencing significant change from a variety of influences and on multiple fronts. These include , but are not limited to: - Increased and intensified regulatory and stakehold- er oversight – In the wake of the financial crises of 2007/2008, new regulations have arisen, partic- ularly in Europe and the US, that directly impacted most players in commodity markets. These new reg- ulations, ranging from regulations like MiFiD2, EMIR and ReMIT in Europe and Dodd Frank in the US, to issues such as the Trade Facilitation and Trade En- forcement Act of 2015 (TFTEA) were designed and implemented to better ensure a fair and competi- tive trade environment. Unfortunately, their impacts have been a bit uneven and have required significant changes in the way in which commodity-centric or- ganizations manage and track their activities. For ex- ample, TFTEA prohibits all products made by forced labor, or child labor, from being imported into the United States – requiring operational vigilance and traceability of all transactions throughout the supply chain. Other regulations, both existing and emerging, focus on other aspects of trade, such as sustainability (green energy), have and are dictating similar chang- es. In total, since the global financial crisis, a raft of regulations and new shareholder requirements (par- ticularly from trade finance banks) have emerged that have particularly targeted trading – requiring “prop- er” and visible risk management techniques, report- ing of trades to regulatory bodies, establishing limits on trading positions and prohibiting certain trading practices that could be deemed as manipulative. Few corners of the commodities supply chain, from source to consumption, have been left unaffected by these changes - adding significant complexity, operational risks and incremental costs to all market participants involved in the procurement, sale, movement or use of commodities, - Geopolitical risks have exploded in recent years and months, impacting commodity prices and shifting global trading patterns. These risks and uncertain- ties include the still emerging impacts of BREXIT, increasing tensions between the US and Iran (includ- ing the abandonment of the Iranian nuclear deal and imposition of oil export sanctions on that country by the Trump administration), the tenuous cartel-like re- lationship between OPEC and the Russians, and the increasingly protectionist trade measures primarily by the United States and the increasing potential for trade wars. All the while, continuing economic chaos in Venezuela and ongoing military conflicts in Syria, Yemen and elsewhere continue to add to the uncer- tainty - driving increased price volatility, shifting sup- ply chains, increasing costs and creating greater risk for all commodity traders. - The rise of renewables has had a large impact on energy trading in many locations, but particularly in Europe and the US, where, in both geographies, the generation mix has become increasingly reliant on © Commodity Technology Advisory LLC, 2018, All Rights Reserved. 5