Reports ComTech Forecasts 2015 Global CTRM Market at $1.68 | Page 3

2015–2020 CTRM Market Outlook 3 Introduction and Scope Commodity Technology Advisory LLC (ComTech), the leading analyst firm covering commodity trading and risk management (CTRM) technology markets, has recently completed its biannual in-depth review of the CTRM software market space in order to compile an estimate of the size of the global CTRM technology market and prepare an outlook for growth across the various component submarkets that comprise it. Products, functionality, and application modules excluded from this market sizing analysis include: Readers of this report should be aware that in the development of this data, as in past years, we must delineate boundaries for the companies and applications reflected in the scope of the analysis. ‘CTRM’ is a term that has been widely adopted by many technology companies. “Traditional” CTRM vendors have been expanding their reach outside of what has been widely and traditionally accepted as core CTRM through acquisition of applications that would commonly be viewed as tools for managing and optimizing supply chains and as such, without adjusting vendor reported results to eliminate these non-CTRM capabilities, we would be overstating the size of the market directly related to commodity trading and risk management capabilities. As such, for this report, ComTech has utilized a fairly rigid view of what capabilities are encompassed within the bounds of CTRM. The included capabilities (and associated services where applicable) for this report are: // The modules or functional components of ERP applications (such as JDE, SAP and Oracle Financials) that are not directly related to trading or commodity marketing activities // Physical and financial commodity deal capture, contract management and origination // Position management and valuation // Tracking/managing of commodities logistics as they apply to functionality commonly deployed as a functional component of large scale CTRM solutions servicing gas, power, crude and bulk product movements // Confirmation, settlement and accounting of deals/transactions // Trader analytics and trading optimization tools // Commodity risk management and analytics including but not limited to, VaR, EaR, limits management, credit risk management and PnL. // Logistical management capabilities not associated with core trading requirements, such as truck, rail or ship tracking software // Treasury and treasury-oriented credit functionality // Production modeling or optimization software for industries such as oil and gas production, mining or agriculture // Applications for managing physical facilities, such as power generation, mines, gas plants, pipelines, refineries, mills or other processing plants // Applications intended only to manage financial products (which may or may not include financial commodities) and provide no capabilities for capturing, valuing or tracking physical commodities // Supply chain management and optimization applications that cannot capture, manage or value traded commodities based upon their unique physical characteristics // Software products related to the metals recycling and waste management segments. In developing this market outlook, we have included the following commodity classes: natural gas, power, oil and oil products, coal, industrial metals, precious metals, agricultural commodities, softs, and others (including freight, RECs, and other minor commodities). Establishing a definitive size for any market, particularly one as complex as commodity trading and risk management, is a difficult exercise and is impossible to complete with absolute certainty. Market sizing, being a forward-looking exercise, must be based upon numerous factors and assumptions. These assumptions include overall economic conditions, forces encouraging new market entrants, historical buying patterns of existing market participants, technology drivers encouraging new purchases, and the number and capabilities of product vendors servicing the needs of the market. Despite these difficulties, we believe that our organization’s unique position in the market, that of highly experienced analysts focused exclusively on the intersection of the commodity trading markets and their requisite technologies, provides us the market vision and insight necessary to compile a reliable and accurate estimate of this unique and dynamic technology market. © Commodity Technology Advisory LLC, 2015, All Rights Reserved.