Renewable Energy Installer October 2015 | Página 8

News: Profile Market forces: Heating oil’s recent and dramatic fall in price is fully offset by renewable energy’s price transparency and predictability, says Simon Cross of The Wood Heating Company and Geowarmth’s John Withers What plummeting oil prices mean for renewables Low fossil fuel prices have historically made life difficult for solar, wind and biomass installers, so why are two North East renewable energy companies unconcerned about the current trend? n August this year the price of crude oil fell below $50 a barrel, the lowest prices we have seen since 2009. A litre of heating oil currently costs less than 32p – a stark difference from three winters ago when heating oil cost up to 99p per litre. While homeowners can rejoice over this reprieve, what about renewable energy industry? “The overwhelming majority of our projects are heating schemes within the rural community,” says Simon Cross of The Wood Heating Company. “Rural fuel poverty is a subject which receives little media coverage, but for a typical 3-bedroomed rural cottage the expenditure on oil has until recently been up to 60 percent higher than the cost of heating a similar property in an urban area using natural gas. The volatility of oil prices makes budgeting very difficult for those living in rural communities who depend upon oil for heat.” He adds: “Our chosen renewable technology, biomass, helps people to jump off the fossil fuel price rollercoaster. The price of pellets has historically been remarkably stable, changing very little over the last 10 years. I 8 | www.renewableenergyinstaller.co.uk There are also offers available to fix the price for the next five years; I can’t imagine many oil companies offering that!” But what about other renewable technologies? John Withers, managing director at Geowarmth, which installs solar PV, heat pumps and biomass, says: “The world of energy has changed. For a start, oil does not compete with solar power, they perform different roles. When we price a solar installation you know exactly what the upfront costs will be and the fuel itself is free, providing energy security for homeowners. “Secondly, plummeting oil prices show just how unpredictable the global cost of fossil fuels can be – and the UK has no control over that volatility. It is one of the many reasons why it makes more sense to make the transition from fossil fuels to renewables.” According to a number of industry analysts, the price of oil is currently below the cost price producing countries require in order to balance their budgets, which in itself is unsustainable in the long term. Simon Cross continues: “The Wood Heating Company have been around for more than 30 years, and over this time we have seen oil prices rise and fall constantly – it is an undesirable feature of fossil-fuel markets. “What this sudden dip may well do is to remove many of the recent influx of new companies who have entered the market thinking biomass was the next renewables goldmine after the solar PV Feed-in Tariff dropped so dramatically a couple of years ago. As these new and inexperienced installers leave the market in search of the ‘next big thing’ we will hopefully see standards within the industry improve again.” Our chosen renewable technology–biomass–helps people to jump off the fossil fuel price rollercoaster The common denominator of plummeting fuel prices is the extreme lack of stability or predictability. No-one can tell how long oil prices will stay so low. This is precisely why homeowners should go green with confidence, and why such dramatic fluctuations only serve as an advantage to installers, who offer stable pricing and energy security.