Renewable Energy Installer December/January 2014 | Page 35

Knowledge: The year ahead Fortune telling Industry leaders deliver the prognosis for the UK renewables sector over the next 12 months redictably, most of the hype for the next year surrounds the introduction of the domestic RHI due in spring. For the first time, homeowners will receive a financial incentive for the renewable heat they produce, greatly stimulating the market. Although deliberately designed not to deliver the same returns as the Feed-in Tariff, thus sparking an identical and unsustainable boom in demand, the industry is nevertheless gearing up for the fuse to be lit on increased consumer interest in heat pumps, biomass and solar thermal. Claire Campbell, product marketing manager at Dimplex Renewables, explains: P Top tip: According to Clare Campbell of Dimplex Renewables, 2014 will be the year of the air source heat pump due to the attractiveness of its tariff level under the domestic RHI “Obviously all eyes will be on the RHI and it will be fascinating to see the initial uplift once the scheme finally comes into force. I’m confident it will stimulate the market for domestic renewables solutions and that’s good news for manufacturers, installers and homeowners alike. “I also firmly believe we will see a marked increase in the take-up of heat pumps next year. Tariffs look good across all technologies under RHI and with support from the scheme, more efficient products, lower payback periods and better knowledge amongst installers, 2014 could be the year that air source heat pumps really take off as a viable source of domestic heating.” Peter Verkempynck, md of Daikin UK, is similarly excited about the impending launch of the domestic RHI having seen its introduction delayed a number of times since its conception in 2010. He states: “As we approach the end of 2013, a year which has seen the renewables industry kept on tenterhooks as the government delayed the domestic RHI scheme, we are now looking at a new year which will be vital for the success of renewable heating technology. With the non-domestic and domestic RHI both in effect in 2014, the RHPP still helping to subsidise the cost of installations and the Green Deal making slow but steady progress, now is the time for the government to start delivering on its promises.” In addition to heat pumps, both Euroheat and HETAS predict a significant increase in demand for biomass under the RHI. Bruce Allen, chief executive of HETAS, says: “In 2014 we anticipate that the domestic RHI will really stimulate the growth of the biomass heating sector. HETAS has been working together with OFGEM and the government helping to ensure an effective and workable scheme for consumers. We’re already seeing much more interest in biomass training and MCS registration, and expect this to increase before the anticipated launch of the domestic RHI in the spring of 2014.” Simon Holden, Euroheat’s co-founder, feels financial returns under the RHI will be particularly attractive for larger domestic installations of above 20kW. In a cautionary word, he also stresses that the success of the scheme and the reputation of the industry will rely on the quality of installations. “2013 was a good year for commercial- scale biomass thanks to the RHI and I hope that its domestic incarnation in 2014 does the same for smaller boilers. The tariff levels that have been set are encouraging and sensibly draw the right kinds of properties to the right kinds of technology – under the RHI biomass stacks up best from 20kW – 45kW; in the main, anything under this figure is probably better suited to an alternative technology. “What’s key is that installers and consumers understand that biomass heating takes careful consideration, depending on the customer. Miss-specifying biomass is the worst thing that can happen – a few unsatisfied customers and many people will write it off. The way biomass is presented to consumers is also key. Thanks to the RHI, www.renewableenergyinstaller.co.uk | 35