REIT ASIAPAC MAGAZINE REITASIAPAC 4Q 2018 ISSUE | Page 24

REIT ASIAPAC TECHNOLOGY INDEXED PRICE PERFORMANCE 20.0% 10.0% OUE HOSPITALITY TRUST 0.0% OUE LTD -10.0% OUE COMMERCIAL REIT -20.0% FIRST REIT -30.0% -40.0% LIPPO KARAWACI -50.0% LMIRT -60.0% Dec 2017 Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018 Jun 2018 Jul 2018 Aug 2018 Sep 2018 Oct 2018 Nov 2018 Dec 2018 Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence (as of 31 December 2018) Fund managers REIT AsiaPac spoke with see the OUE REITs as being relatively insulated from the corruption probe at Lippo. At the same time, they are cautious over Lippo’s and OUE’s reputation for not always prioritising minority investor interests. The fund managers say the plunge in OUE Commercial REIT’s share price is directly traceable to its purchase of the office components of OUE Downtown and the deeply discounted rights issue to fund the purchase. Investors found the transaction disappointing due to the short remaining tenure of the asset and how the acquisition would be dilutive if the impact of income support is stripped out. There is also speculation that the timing of the transaction and associated capital raise could be remotely linked to the cash crunch at Lippo. N E G AT I V E C A S H F LO W S E E N “Though there have several transactions between OUE Limited and Lippo Karawaci, it is still too early to think of OUE Limited as a ‘white knight’ for Lippo Group,” says Wong Hong Wei, Credit Research Analyst at OCBC Bank. “There could be certain clauses on change in control in the Lippo REITs’ debt covenants, though it would Te c h n o l o g y WILL TOKENISATION DISRUPT THE REIT INDUSTRY? Lippo Group's costly high-rise development, Meikarta, seen here in April.(Photo by company) be likely a waiver would be sought before any change in control is effected.” Moody's expects Lippo Karawaci to continue generating negative operating cash flows at the holding company level over the next 12-18 months, given lacklustre marketing sales of inventories; a decline in asset management fees from the sale of Bowsprit Capital, manager of First REIT; a decline in dividend cash flows from its Singapore-listed real estate investment trusts owing to its reduced stake in First REIT and weaker dividends 24 Tokenisation is maturing with some ventures succeeding in the most challenging aspect — compliance. But what are the hurdles preventing its full-scale adoption? per unit from LMIRT; as well as higher interest expense on its US dollar debt as a result of the weaker Indonesian rupiah against the US dollar and higher cost of debt. Steps to ease the longer term credit concerns could include selling its remaining 10.6% stake in First REIT (for which it no longer owns the manager) or selling retail mall (Lippo Mall Puri) to LMIRT - which LMIRT will likely need to finance with a mix of debt and equity, says Poh. Tokenisation is the most radical innovation in the real estate industry since the introduction of REITs in 1960. Tokenisation is a way of using Blockchain to represent ownership. Let me break that down: By Bernie Devine, Regional Director (Asia), Yardi Systems • A blockchain is a form of cryptography – distributed ledgers allowing the practice and study of techniques for secure communication in the presence of third parties called adversaries. • It is a register of transactions and allows 25 you to verify the current owner of a token on the chain. It is much like Torrens title in which a state creates and maintains a register of land holdings, which serves as the conclusive evidence of title of the person recorded on the register as the proprietor, and of all other interests recorded on the register. • As tokens can represent the ownership of the asset, many tokens can be used to break down the size of ownership parcels, allowing fractional ownership.