REIT ASIAPAC MAGAZINE REITASIAPAC 3Q 2019 ISSUE | Page 12

REIT ASIAPAC A-REIT NET EQUITY RAISINGS 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 (5,000) (10,000) Jan de Vos, Portfolio manager at Resolution Capital According to Resolution Capital, there were at least a dozen raisings by A-REITs totaling over A$4 billion of equity in the three months to June. Among them were GPT and Mirvac, which bought back shares at “materially” lower prices earlier in the year, says de Vos. (15,000) 2009 2010 2011 Equity Raised 2012 2013 BuyBacks 2014 2015 2016 Cash Returned (M&A) 2017 2018 2019 URW CDI conversion (Source: UBS (capital raisings less buybacks, privatisations & capital returns). 2019 not annualised.) GPT Group raised A$800 million in an institutional placement to acquire more than 100,000 sqm of prime Sydney office space. Separately, Mirvac raised A$750 million to fund projects in Melbourne and Sydney. “By and large this seems to be smart capital management, highlighting a more agile approach of improving Return on Equity (RoE) and not simply growing the asset base,” he says. Emboldened by stronger share prices and property buying opportunities, the sector has returned to expansion mode in recent months, de Vos adds. As A-REITs look to raise capital and expand, their potential targets are non- retail exposed portfolios and those that are trading at or around to NTA, says Morrissey. “Even modest premiums may be candidates if acquirers are prepared to take a strong view on further valuation growth or the potential to unlock value within portfolios considered under- managed or under-invested,” he says. De Vos also noted that almost all the capital raisings in the recent months were to fund non-retail property acquisitions and developments. “There is one sector largely absent from raising equity, namely the shopping centre retail REITs. Retail A-REITs that are exposed to larger shopping centres are trading below Net Asset Value (NAV), similar to most other developed markets’ REITs, and therefore don’t have the cost of capital to expand,” he says. He observed that both Scentre Group and Vicinity have been selling assets with share buyback programmes in place. “The A-REIT sector which has always had a 12 strong retail focus is slowly decreasing its overall retail allocation. Whilst retail REITs are ‘on sale’ in the listed market we don’t expect a lot of take-privates near term, as private equity and both on and offshore institutions seem to be more interested in increasing their non-retail property exposure,” he says. Scasserra at Credit Suisse sees strong interest in industrial properties due to an under-allocation to the asset class. “Investors’ keen interest in industrial property is being driven by limited supply and strong demand from logistics and e-commerce tenants,” he says. 13