REIT ASIAPAC MAGAZINE REITASIAPAC 3Q 2019 ISSUE | Page 10

REIT ASIAPAC MARKET Market A US T R ALI A N R E TA I L A S SE T S OVER LO O K E D I N M&A TR AN SACT I O N S Retail REITs exposed to large shopping centres are trading below Net Asset Value. The Australian REIT market has seen active merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the last two years. While views are mixed on whether the trend will persist, the consensus is that retail assets have fallen out of favour. According to Angelo Scasserra, Managing Director, Head of Real Estate at Credit Suisse, many of the M&As in the last year have proven to be well-timed. They were supported by the current low-interest rate cycle and compressed capital rates. “Listed markets can provide attractive hunting grounds for buyers where the value of the target doesn’t reflect prices in the direct market,” says Angelo Scasserra, Managing Director, Head of Real Estate at Credit Suisse Scasserra. He added that investors could reap material savings in stamp duties through the acquisition of listed shares. In September, Charter Hall agreed to acquire all of the units in Australian Unity Office that it does not already hold for A$3.04 (US$2.06) cash per unit, which is an 8.9% premium to its Net Tangible Asset value of A$2.79 on June 19. Last year, Canada-based Oxford Properties bought Investa Office Fund for A$3.4 billion. Earlier this year, Warburg Pincus-backed ESR Australia completed its acquisition of PropertyLink Group for about US$500 million. “Currently, REITs are trading at significant premia to net tangible assets driven by the low interest rate environment and strong investor interest. Unless we see a reversal in that trend, it will make it difficult for mergers and acquisitions between REITs to stack up in the near term, capital, which continues to have a lower cost and greater willingness to use a higher level of debt. As such the premium pricing offered has so far been accepted by the A-REIT target boards/ shareholders.” RECENT M& A TRANSACTIONS IN AUSTRALIA (AUD) TRUST NET TANGIBLE ASSET (NTA) ^ OFFER PREMIUM PAID PREMIUM ACQUIRER AUSTRALIAN UNITY OFFICE $2.67 $2.95 10.5% $3.04 8.9%** Charter Hall / Abacus (in process) INVESTA OFFICE $4.95 $5.15 4.0% $5.60 2.4%* Oxford Props (closed) PROPERTY LINK $1.04 $1.15 10.5% $1.20 (Source: APN Property Group) ^ at date of offer. * to June 18 NTA of $5.47 ** to June 19 NTA of $2.79 ^^ to Pro-forma June 18 NTA of $1.07 10 12.1%^^ ESR Australia (closed) Pete Morrissey, CEO, Real Estate Securities of APN Property Group Pete Morrissey, Chief Executive Officer, Real Estate Securities at APN Property Group, expects this trend of increasing M&A activity to continue. “Each of the above M&A transactions involved taking private a publicly traded A-REIT (Australia-REIT) vehicle utilising unlisted While Jan de Vos, a portfolio manager at Resolution Capital, also regards M&A as a constant in the equity markets, Credit Suisse’s Scasserra added that the current market, where REITs are trading at a significant premia to NTA, will make it difficult for M&A between REITs in the short term. “Currently, REITs are trading at significant premia to net tangible assets driven by the 11 low interest rate environment and strong investor interest. Unless we see a reversal in that trend, it will make it difficult for mergers and acquisitions between REITs to stack up in the near term,” says Scasserra. However, he expects REITs to continue to raise capital to fund asset purchases. Morrissey’s view is that “wholesale capital is likely to be involved as acquirer, given their lower return hurdles and willingness to take on greater leverage.” He added that “offshore acquirers would have also been assisted by the recent depreciation in the AUD relative to other major currencies.”