REIT ASIAPAC MAGAZINE REITASIAPAC 2Q 2019 ISSUE | Page 26

REIT ASIAPAC OUTLOOK GPR APREA COMPOSITE AUSTRALIA REIT INDEX (BY SECTOR) 150.00 140.00 130.00 120.00 Industrial 110.00 Office 100.00 Residential 90.00 Retail 80.00 70.00 60.00 Apr 2014 Oct 2014 Apr 2015 Oct 2015 Apr 2016 Oct 2016 Apr 2017 Oct 2017 Apr 2018 Oct 2018 SUNLIGHT REIT UNDERTAKES STRATEGIES TO TAP DECENTRALISATION IN HONG KONG satisfying the needs of both co-working and institutional tenants.” The building will be renamed Strand 50 soon. Sunlight REIT, listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since 2006, is 40% owned by Henderson Land Development Company Limited and Lee Shau Kee’s family. IMPROVED TRANSPORT The recent opening of the Central-Wan Chai bypass has improved the transportation connectivity of Island East. Supermarket chains ALDI and WM Morrison were among the first companies that have relocated their offices to Kowloon East, taking advantage of the higher availability of space in the submarket. As businesses continue to decentralise from Hong Kong’s CBD, REIT managers are re- branding and refurbishing their assets in the outskirts with a focus on environment and wellness to attract demand. “Since last year, we have seen the relocation of many multinational corporations and large-scale professional firms to areas such as Wan Chai, Causeway Bay, and Island East,” says Sunlight’s Yip. Apr 2019 K A I TA K A I R P O RT R EG I O N TA K E S O F F Hong Kong’s decentralisation efforts aren’t focused solely on Hong Kong island. The government is re-developing its now defunct Kai Tak Airport located in Kowloon East. At least 42 applications have been approved and executed for wholesale conversion or redevelopment in Kwun Tong and Kowloon Bay under the revitalisation policy for industrial buildings, according to the government. These industrial buildings will be redeveloped or converted into offices, shops and services, and hotels. About 2.6 million square metres of office floor space has been completed. residential assets. Units of Mirvac Group, for instance, which has exposures to assets in urban cities, has risen nearly 32.8% for the year to April 2019, compared to Stockland, which is down 2.3%. The ASX200 index has risen 15% so far this year. “Mirvac’s portfolio is diversified with a high-quality office skew, so they’ve fared fairly well; Stockland, on the other hand, has significant exposure to retail and residential, so they’ve not performed as well,” Morrissey pointed out. and an expanding e-commerce sector. “Australia is also behind other markets in internet penetration, so there could be some ways yet before the underperformance turns,” he says. Despite this, there are still opportunities in retail, as certain assets are performing well. Local neighbourhood centres are showing steady performance, and cash flows are looking quite stable buoyed by supermarkets like Coles or Woolworths, he adds. Larger regional centres that dominate their catchments also look solid. In Australia, some REITs are structured with stapled securities, which provide investors with exposure to a combination of assets, and they include the investment trust that has ownership of the real estate assets and a share in the company that develops and manages the asset base. According to Morrissey, REITs that adopt the structure to establish an alternate platform for returns, such as in the case of Goodman Group, have performed well due to their exposure to offshore assets and non-rental income. Goodman group units are up 49.3% for the year to April. Over the past year, the strongest performing assets in the Australian real estate industry have been industrial properties, driven by robust demand across Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane. Rental growth registered 4.1% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019 in Sydney, and the forward development pipeline remains strong for the city, with 437,700 sqm of developments under construction, or with plans approved, and due to complete over 2019, says JLL’s first-quarter Asia Pacific Property Digest report. According to Matthew Coleman, an analyst at APN, capitalisation rates, or the rate of return expected for a real estate investment property, for the industry have been compressed due to investments by the government and eCommerce companies. Based on JLL’s report “Australian Industrial Investment Review & Outlook 2019,” approximately A$3.2 billion in industrial investment sales was recorded over 2018, and the real estate consultancy projects that Australia’s industrial investment universe will reach A$92 billion in value by 2028. Despite pockets of weakness, Australian real estate has generally outperformed many other industries. The average earnings momentum over the past year of the 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors was at -1%. Among them, only four industries had positive momentum, and these are utilities (+0.1%), property (+1%), communication services (+2.7%) and materials (+6.8%). According to Morrissey, AREITs’ 2018 performance highlights their worth in investor’s portfolios. While delivering a relatively low 3.3%, they outperformed Australian equities (-3.1%) by 6.4% over what was a volatile year. REITs have become a preferred asset class in 2019 due to its high-income component and consistency of earnings hence their 18.0% one-year return which is 7.7% ahead of the broader Australian equity market. MIRVAC, GOODMAN STRONG PERFORMERS The varying performance of the different asset classes meant that REITs that are exposed to the industrial and office sectors have been performing better than those with retail and 26 Sunlight Tower in Wanchai An important industrial base in the heyday of Hong Kong’s manufacturing industries in the 70s and 80s, the relocation of the airport to Chek Lap Kok in 1998 and Hong Kong’s manufacturing base to the Mainland led to a vast stock of industrial buildings not being fully utilised. The Havest in Mongkok CENTRAL IS STILL THRIVING Office decentralisation has gained momentum in Hong Kong as professional services companies, including banks and law firms, no longer see areas such as Hong Kong East as back- office locations. With improved transportation infrastructure, accessibility, lower rent, and advanced technology, the tenant profiles in the decentralised zones are increasingly aligned with those in Central Hong Kong. Meanwhile, co-working operators are adding to demand growth. Despite the move, Central, the thriving heart of Hong Kong’s CBD, maintains its popularity among client-facing offices and Chinese corporations. While rental growth has slowed due to weaker demand from mainland Chinese industries, vacancy rate has remained low as supply is also limited. “For investment property portfolios to remain competitive, it is important to ensure that investment property portfolios are diversified across both core business district and decentralised locations, and they should also show potential for stable organic growth on rental income,” says Patrick Ma, Director of Listed Products and Research at Admiral Investment Limited. “We have adopted a proactive leasing strategy and devoted considerable effort in executing asset enhancement initiatives, revitalising and upgrading the buildings to facilitate and maintain their attractiveness to tenants,” says Henderson Sunlight Asset Management’s General Manager of Investment and Investor Relations, Vivian Yip. “As we capitalise on this trend of decentralisation, we are dedicating substantial resources to revamp our second-largest office property, Bonham Trade Centre, in west Hong Kong, to become an attractive destination With Hong Kong’s geographical advantage as a gateway to mainland China and its talented workforce, office demand and rent will continue to rise, and so decentralisation will broaden further, says Ma. 27