REI Wealth Monthly Issue 12 | Page 59

LEVERAGE AND THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM RICK TOBIN Increasing decreasing mortgage mortgage rates loan then leads amounts to which borrowers may qualify for when trying to acquire real estate. As a result, home buyers or investors may need to invest larger down payments in their future real estate investments, since they will have less leverage options at their disposal, or reduced mortgage loan percentage options. Leverage & Government Backed Mortgages Over the past five (5) plus years, government backed or insured mortgages have rapidly increased in percentages nationwide, partly due to the weakening mortgage securities market. Once Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were bailed out by the U.S. government and the FDIC almost imploded themselves back in the Fall of 2008 after We Need Better Capital Access the Washington Mutual collapse (* the largest bank collapse in U.S. history), then fewer private, nongovernmental backed or insured lenders were as willing to make real estate loans (residential or commercial). This was true partly since they did not have very many secondary market investment sources which may buy these same funded mortgage loans from them at a later date. As I have said for many years now, the number # 1 factor behind the various “Boom” and “Bust” real estate cycles over the past several decades is related to the supply of capital. How readily available is the money today as compared with back in 2005? Even though 2005’s interest rates were higher than 2013’s interest rates, most people would answer that it was much easier to qualify for FHA, VA, USDA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac represented the bulk groups of government backed a mortgage loan back in 2005 than today, in spite of the higher interest rates back then. or insured entities which were directly or indirectly behind the funding of 97% of all U.S. residential mortgage loans in recent years. Additionally, SBA (Small Business Administration) and USDA (United States Department of Agriculture) have stepped up even more in recent years to help fund small to very large commercial properties (i.e., Retail shopping centers, hotels and motels, gas stations, industrial, office buildings, etc.). I keep hearing rumors of more private money investors or investment groups interested in creating their own secondary markets for new and existing mortgage loans. If more secondary market investors begin purchasing funded residential and commercial mortgage loans, then private investors, small banks, and even larger banks will have more options to sell off their mortgage loans in bulk.