Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa May/ June 2020 | Page 34

OFFICE Workplaces of the future How businesses need to adapt in a post COVID-19 world order T he past month will forever be documented in our country’s history. Beyond Covid-19, we’ve seen various other unprecedented local events taking place such as the country’s lowest repo rate to date, payment holidays by lenders, rental holidays by retailers and entire industries working remotely. The shift in office rental agreements, however, is due to last much longer than the Lockdown. “One particularly noticeable shift is that of office rental agreements. Companies are now acclimatising to working remotely and many are experiencing the benefits of improved productivity and reduced overheads, first-hand,” says John Jack, CEO of Galetti Corporate Real Estate. Jack notes that this trend will make more room for current trend-setters such as Regus and WeWork, which offer flexible terms based around tenants’ requirements. “Pre-pandemic, we saw millennials and more recently, Generation Z influencing the notable shift from traditional 9 to 5 office set ups. Post lockdown, we expect that this trend will accelerate rapidly with increased connectivity, flexibility and scalability at the forefront of every business.” Tenants have the upper hand On the whole, the last decade or more has been a ‘landlords’ market’ with relatively limited space available and a trend of increasing rentals year on year. “Terms in lease agreements were largely driven from the landlord’s side except in the instance of very large multinational tenants”. Over the past 12 months, we have seen that trend change somewhat and now, more recently, swing heavily in the favour of the tenant. “Landlords will need to get very creative with lease structures creating significant flexibility therein,” says Jack. In this market, occupiers looking to sublet have become the landlord’s greatest opposition. “Where a sublessor is willing to take anything and still be better off than paying for space they aren’t using, it’s typically very hard for any property owner to match these terms”. Jack cements this point saying that global retrenchments have seen some companies give up 50% of their space due 32 MAY/JUNE 2020 SA Real Estate Investor Magazine to downsizing and optimisation of existing space, potentially with some staff working on a flexible basis. According to JLL, it’s estimated that 30% of South Africa’s corporate real estate will be flexible by 2030. “Cashflow shortages and the cost of relocating will be too significant for many small to medium sized companies to take on. Here, landlords will follow in the footsteps of co-working spaces such as WeWork to fill their buildings and cover their overheads”. “The unprecedented repo rate cut to 4.25% per annum could help to reignite the property sector in the long-run but we don’t see it bringing any notable relief in the short-term. That said, the spread between yield and interest rate currently sits at an all-time high, last seen in the early 80s, which does provide opportunities for investors coming into the market” says Jack.  Jack cautions the industry to brace itself for a period of turbulence and change. “Any deal is better than no deal. Restructure your agreements and look to form strong, mutually beneficial partnerships with your tenants”. Generation Z & the growing demand for flexible workspaces “In these tough economic conditions, this savvy generation will need to be more self-sufficient and will undoubtedly bring massive change to the workplace. Generation Z gives rise to fresh energy in the workplace. According to Raconteur. net they’re self-starting, self-aware and more realistic than Millennials,” says Jack. Jack says that it’s no coincidence that JLL’s predictions around changes to corporate real estate collides with the rise of Generation Z. “More than ever before, we expect to see a huge demand for co-working amongst this generation as they continue to influence the working world as we know it. We will see a strong movement towards flexible spaces where Generation Z’s needs are being catered for”. Rethinking workspaces David Seinker, founder and CEO of The Business Exchange, believes there will be no returning to normal any time soon, if ever. “The traditional office space as we once knew it, is now dead.” “There are a number of reasons why this is so,”  Seinker explains. “Rather than a return to normal once this is over, corporates are going to have to entirely overhaul their thinking about offices to accommodate a number of factors.”  1 The shrinking workforce  Unfortunately, the human workforce is going to be a big casualty of the Covid-19 lockdown. With so many businesses making a lot less revenue than before, there have already been large-scale retrenchments across the board, and many companies will look to take up less space at their respective head offices. “Businesses will find themselves in a big office space with an expensive lease, and not enough people to fill the desks,” Seinker predicts.  Large companies will now seek to diversify and reduce risk, while also looking for smaller or serviced office spaces with flexible leases as opposed to five- to 10-year agreements. They will want spaces that offer other “nice-to-have” services such as cleaning services, IT support and more, built into the lease agreement.  2 Higher health & safety expectations “Going forward, employees will expect cleaner offices and better measures to ensure their safety. They will also be apprehensive about touching surfaces that others have touched before them,” says Seinker,   Those who can afford it will look into automatic doors and elevators that don’t require users to even press a button. Those who can’t will need to provide hand sanitiser at all public touch points as people’s concerns about possible contamination will be with us for a very long time going forward.   3 Cost savings “Businesses would have lost a lot of money during the lockdown, and will have to look at how to trim their budgets once employees return to work,” cautions Seinker.  Larger companies will try to better utilise their office space by reducing the overall size of their workspaces, so reducing rental costs, while others may adopt more of a hybrid model.  Managing long-term risk will also become more important, so corporate companies can be expected to seek more flexibility in their lease terms. They may even look to decentralise their head offices and possibly locate different departments at different addresses. 4 No more open plan The trend of the last few years for many businesses has been to put their employees in an open plan office space. While this may have looked good and been a clever use of floor space, it has meant that employees sit closer together and so are more exposed to the spread of germs.  “Before Covid-19 we already had a number of companies enquire about private offices as opposed to open plan and flexible space,” says Seinker. “Now, with Covid-19 and the heightened awareness around how easily germs spread, many companies are going to have to rethink their open plan spaces and find ways to keep staff more separated from one another in order to lower the risk of the spread of infection.” Seinker concludes: “The traditional office space as we know it today is no longer viable. Employees are going to be much more demanding of their bosses in terms of taking care of their health needs, while companies’ financial security is going to require smarter thinking about how money is spent.” SOURCES Galetti Corporate Real Estate & The Business Exchange SA Real Estate Investor Magazine MAY/JUNE 2020 33