Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa March/April 2020 | Page 63

A Sanlam survey in 2019 indicated that only 8% of South Africans are able to retire with sufficient savings to provide an income at a replacement ratio of 75%. The reality is that, at retirement, retirement savings have a certain income purchasing value and, if drawn above this value, they run the risk of outliving their capital. Meanwhile, a 2017 Sanlam Glacier report, in the case of a couple aged 65 today, stated that there is a 50% chance that one of them will live reach age 94. There is a 25% chance that one of them will live to 100. Given this outlook the need for affordable housing for pensioners is extremely urgent and necessary. Developers have focused on the high-end market in the last 15 years with many examples of exceptional design and luxury living in retirement that can compete with the best around the world. But what about the middle-class market who have limited financial resources? In 2018, the housing backlog reportedly stood at 2.3 million houses and was growing by approximately 178 000 houses a year. South Africa's first affordable house market index released on the 29 October 2019 indicated that properties in the “gap market” (priced between R250 000 and R500 000) are more resilient, and generated the most activity in the third quarter compared to the rest of the residential market. With 92% of retirees being under-funded for retirement, more and more pensioners are relying on their adult children for financial support. A 2015 Old Mutual Savings and Investment Monitor found that 25% of the sandwich generation are supporting their children and aging parents at the same time. What this means for developers There is an old-new market for affordable retirement buyers either in rental only or below R1.5m price point purchase. This affordable price range means that the average house selling for R1.5 to R2.5 million will afford a retiring couple either a swop with a reduction in maintenance and running costs or an extra million or two to invest, thereby helping to ensure they will have sufficient funds to see them into their 90’s. RETIREMENT VILLAGE LIVING Design & building for retirement villages can apply to any normal estate living. What differentiates a retirement village over & above the age criteria is: Care Provision of meals Lifestyle choices If working on a rental only basis an extra R1.5 million from the sale of a home would equate to 8.3 years if paying R15K monthly. That would make a substantial difference to someone’s retirement quality of life and may also reduce the sum needed to live on for those 8.3 years would also improve the value of the pension. A rethink of building methodology All across the world there has been innovations of flat pack built at factory and assemble on site, rammed earth. Homes built with alternatives to bricks such as bottles, hay etc. Radiant heating is very affordable, double glazing. Building off the grid as Eskom struggles to provide electricity is already a desirable purchase point for prospective buyers. Water solutions will not be far behind given the lessons learnt from Eskom. Design Smaller homes built with materials that are easy to maintain, that can stand wear and tear, are user friendly for mobility solutions and take into account aging issues such as reductions in flexibility and balance. However, to make a home from 30 sqm to 50 sqm more than doable, space needs to be designed effectively. “Developers have focused on the high-end market in the last 15 years. But what about the middle-class market who have limitexd financial resources?” Retirement village living It is a common trend that retirement villages are often situated in areas that allow easy access to hospitals and services for the residents. This concentration should be considered an opportunity to seriously rethink retirement solutions for everyone. Providing frail care is expensive although for some a necessity. But instead of thinking of retirement villages as single entities perhaps they should be looked at rather as a collective where services can be pooled by various retirement villages. This can apply to facilities in retirement villages or services like frail care, pools, gyms, occupational therapy, doctors and beauty therapists. All these can be used on a space-as-a-service basis much like WeWork or Airbnb. The central resource centre drives the cost of running a retirement village substantially down, provides residents with a greater circle of potential friends and the centre can provide more unique offerings such as ceramics, woodwork, sculpture, business centre and storage options that best reflect the interests and needs of its customers. The care component could provide different levels of care solution from short stay recuperation to advanced dementia with on-site access to specialist care. In the future retirement will not be what is seen today to be, but rather a response to the demands of residents and the focus will be on various residents’ experience. Retirees crave personalized, frictionless experiences, and companies are sprinting to deliver them. Retirement villages will also be competing to win in the Experience Economy much like any other business. SOURCE Sanlam, Old Mutual SA Real Estate Investor Magazine MARCH/APRIL 2020 61