Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa July 2014 | Page 30
FINANCE
BY KOOS DU DOIT
Buy-to-Let Financial Perspectives
Understanding the vacancy rate
V
acancies are a reality in buy-to-let property
investment, and smar t investors make
provision for this very real risk upfront: during
the evaluation of a property as a potential investment.
extended periods. In addition, low vacancy rates
also mean that there is greater demand for rentals,
which in turn translates into better prospects for
annual rental increases.
This is done by establishing the ‘vacancy rate’ for
the area in which a potential investment property is
located, which is determined by speaking to several
letting agents in the area. The term ‘vacancy rate’ is used
to express the percentage of time a buy-to-let property
can be expected to be vacant. So, for example, a vacancy
rate of 10% would translate into a one-month vacancy
every 10 months.
The vacancy rate should be factored into the cash
f low projections for the property before making a
buying decision, to ensure that a vacancy will not
derail the investor’s cash flow position in terms of the
investment property. Smart investors use a default 5%
vacancy rate, as a risk management measure, even if
the current vacancy rate for the area is lower. Using
custom-designed software, such as the P3 Property
Wealth Manager, makes it easy to make provision for
vacancies in the cash flow projections. Download the
demo version free of charge from www.hope.co.za.
Obv iously, t he lower t he v ac a nc y rate , t he
lower the risk that the property will be vacant for
In the example above, a 5% vacancy rate is factored into the calculations. While this increases the shortfall the investor pays
out-of-pocket by R250 to R1 835 per month (or R3 000 per annum) in the first year, it allows the investor to pay an extra R250 a
month into the bond, building up a reserve fund in the bond, sufficient to cover a one-month vacancy every twenty months. This is
an excellent way to cushion the impact of a vacancy on the investor’s cash flow, because if a vacancy occurs, the investor is already
ahead with the bond repayments and does not need any extra out-of-pocket cash to cover the bond repayment.
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July 2014 SA Real Estate Investor
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