Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa July 2013 | Page 55

REI Offshore US Housing Crisis Is Over Q1 Strong For Europe PIC Set To Expand Into Africa The infamous US housing crisis which spilled over into worldwide markets and was a major cause of the 2008 global f inancial crisis seems to f inally be over in the US at least. Residential real estate prices released by S&P/Case Shiller recently show that the US residential market has begun to recover after 5 years of negative growth. The results show that in the 12 months to Februar y 2013, US house prices rose by 9.3 percent. This index is based on the property values in 20 major cities. The largest gainers were Phoenix with 23 percent growth, followed by San Francisco (19 percent growth) and Las Vegas (18 percent growth). The two largest US cities, Los Angeles and New York, also both recorded price grow th over the 12 month period. The first quarter of 2013 saw high levels of direct real estate investment across Europe, building on the momentum at the end of 2012, as both international and domestic investors targeted real estate assets. Transaction volumes in the large markets of UK, France and Germany grew as they retained the bulk of investor attention. This resulted in London, Paris and Moscow all ranking in the top 10 global cities by volume, accounting for US $11.5 billion of the $40 billion total investment. Over 50% of transactions in these three cities was cross-border, as overseas investors sought to gain exposure in the largest European markets. Richard Bloxam, Head of European Capital Markets at Jones Lang LaSalle explained: “Buyers are scrambling for opportunities in the largest European commercial real estate markets and this strong competition for the best product means we have seen a widening of search criteria, including location, asset class and risk level. The Public Investment Corporation (PIC) is awaiting final approval to invest up to R12 billion in commercial real estate in various countries across Africa, the PIC’s first foray into property markets outside SA’s borders. PIC recently overtook JSE-listed Growthpoint Properties as the biggest player in the SA commercial property space, with real estate assets under management now at a colossal R62,5bn at March 31. That’s up from R25,7bn four years ago. Lesiba Maloba, GM of PIC says given the shortage of existing stock in most African countries, the PIC is looking to partner SA developers, institutions and retailers to develop new properties. “We don’t want to be a passive investor in a property fund. We prefer to be involved directly on an operational basis.’’ But Maloba concedes that Africa is still “virgin territory”, with such vast potential that the PIC’s African investment strategy is not yet set in stone. Valuable Input Craig Illman, CEO, Propwealth Michael Bauer, GM, IHFM Jenny Ellinas, CEO, Cypriot Realty Dr Andrew Golding, CE, Pam Golding Andrew Rissik, Director, Sable FX “Invest to hold, not to flip or on-sell. Property is a slow wealth creation process with a 10-15 year outlook in London. Buying UK property for cash f low is what most savvy buy-to-let investors are looking for, capital growth is a bonus.” “The introduction of REITs to the South African propert y investment market is a huge advantage as an international property investment vehicle for South Africans.” “Cy pr us is t he on ly Eu ropean count r y of fer ing Per ma nent R e s i d e n c y w it h o ut prescribing that you have to physically live there.” “London has an e x t raord ina r y t rack record of rental and capital growth which makes it an ideal longterm investment - and inflation hedge, not to mention potentially a currency hedge - for a residential buy-to-let investor.” “Now more than ever when using Rands to ma ke an offshore investment, look for value in your purchase pr ice. A wea k R and and inflated asset prices offshore can contribute to some hefty losses in the event that the Rand turns the corner.” www.reimag.co.za July 2013 SA Real Estate Investor 53