Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa December - January 2014 | Page 20

PROPERTY PREDICTIONS In 2014 THE EXPERTS PREDICT... Samuel Seeff, Chairman, Seeff “On the back of the increased activity this year, there is good reason to be positive about the outlook for the housing market in 2014. Market conditions are the healthiest since the economic down turn with more buyers at show houses, multiple offers and better prices for sellers in the primary sector and, stock shortages an almost universal challenge for agents. As we head into 2014, there is much to be upbeat about and, while too early to talk about recovery especially in view of the wider economic landscape, there is more balance in the market. If the demand persists, sellers can look forward to shorter selling times and good offers and we may even start seeing some double-digit price growth in the high demand areas.” Marna van der Walt, CEO, Excellerate Property Services “Looking at the year ahead, it is evident that the prevailing challenging economic trading conditions of the past several years, coupled with significantly increased energy and other costs such as municipal tariffs will continue to see a strong emphasis on the reduction of operating costs from a commercial property owner’s perspective. As a result, the concept of a bundled service offering (from reputable service providers) for landlords, particularly investors with large property portfolios, will receive prominence as a means of achieving maximum cost-effectiveness. In the years ahead we also see the potential for increasing long-term building efficiencies - especially around ‘greening’ buildings for long-term operating cost savings, as well as opportunities for increasing international interest in the South African market - as we comply with international real estate regulations with the conversion of property loan stock structures to real estate investment trusts. We also anticipate a new trend in regard to residential investment with the formulation of residential funds that will list on the JSE. These funds will consist of various residential types of properties, for example social housing and student accommodation. Furthermore, there will be increasing expansion into Africa. As the various property markets in Africa expand and increase their service offering so will the need for additional services. These services are new to the markets and will create a new set of challenges and potential income stream.” Louw Liebenberg, CEO, Payprop “We expect the current supply and demand mismatch of rental properties to continue. Continuation of this supply shortage is likely to keep annual increases above inflation in the 8% to 10% bracket. However we are concerned that this will put already-stretched consumers under further financial strain, which may, in the medium term result in deteriorating payment data if agents do not apply diligence in tenant selection. On the regulatory front we expect the EAAB clampdown on illegal agents to start in earnest and the closing of commission payment channels by banks and transferring attorneys starting to insist on only paying commissions to agencies who hold valid FFC’s. SARS reporting for the rental market is also likely to be a hot topic that may have major ramifications for the industry and the way they report owner earnings to the Receiver.” 20 December January 2013/4 SA Real Estate Investor www.reimag.co.za