Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa August 2013 | Page 52
USA
BY SCOTT PICKEN
Opportunities in the USA
Don’t miss out
O
n our recent trip the sentiment has
changed so fast and the market is
now in a full recovery. Even though
many of the economic problems remain, the
American’s are a lot more positive that the
economy was recovering. The job numbers have
recovered (best since 2008), the Dow Jones has
gone above 15 000 and most importantly the
economy is growing. It is certainly the leading
developed economy at the moment and is leading
the optimism in the markets at the moment.
According to the Wall Street Journal more
than 50% of Americans believe that property
prices will now rise and that the worst is behind
them. The Case Shiller Index is up over 10%
across the whole country for the last 12 months.
However, the most important thing, which
has changed the market, is that Wall Street
has moved onto Main Street. The hedge funds
from Wall Street have now moved into buying
US property in a big way and are really driving
the demand,driving prices up and yields down.
Funds like Colony Capital and Blackstone have
deployed billions of dollars into residential
property in the USA.
50
August 2013 SA Real Estate Investor
Atlanta continues to deliver the best overall
returns, Orlando has the best capital growth
and Memphis is the best income market for
returns. Our partners in these markets are
world class and continue to impress our clients
with their professionalism.
The interesting thing is that we have
researched over 14 markets including Las
Vegas, New York, Phoeni x, San Diego,
Chicago, Detroit, Orlando, Miami and
Boston, to name a few. We have spent over
R1.5 million on travelling to all these markets,
but the greatest thing is that along with our
partners, our research has stood up as the
markets we are investing in are getting the best
returns in USA, and continue to be the best
performing markets in the whole country. This
is the advantage of working with the company
who has helped more people in South Africa
invest internationally than any other company
(over 2000 international investments to a value
of over R1.6 billion) and also working with the
best partners in the USA.
Unfortunately many people have been caught
by surprise by the quick weakening of the
Rand. We find this so frustrating. We only
work with the best partners and in March we
organised the biggest American event ever
in South Africa. We had all our partners out
from the USA and also the best from South
Africa. James Paynter, our expert on the
Rand and someone who has had an accuracy
of more than 80% of where the Rand is going
since 2005, explained to all our clients what
was going to happen to the Rand. He told
people in March that the Rand would be
between R9.38 to R9.90 in the next few weeks,
R9.50 to R10.50 in next few months and
R14 to R21 to the dollar in the next few years.
At the event it was below R9 to the dollar and
now it is R9.83. Those that t ????????????)????????????????????????????????????)??????????????????????????????????)???????????????????????????????)???????????????) ???????????????UM????????????????????)????????????????????????????????????????)??????UM????????????????????????()IM=UI
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