Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa August 2013 | Page 40

STRATEGIES BY MARK BRADFORD What’s The Secret To commercial investment success? O n the face of it, commercial property is an easy and attractive asset class, guaranteeing returns for the duration of the tenant’s lease. Unlike equities, property is a tangible asset against which finance can be raised and which should yield capital growth in addition to rental yield. The world’s population continues to urbanise and consequently, cities to grow. People need spaces from which to work, places in which to shop, and clearly occupier demand for commercial property will predictably increase. And with increased demand, property values can only rise, so how can any prudent investor forgo an opportunity to acquire commercial property? Biomimicry is one of this centuries most innovative and relevant engineering disciplines, utilising natural strategies to evolve sustainable solutions to complex problems. The most attractive of natural creatures are inevitably the most dangerous, particularly in the hands of novices. Property investment the world over has evolved in its complexity, and as a result, despite its obvious visual attraction, can have disastrous consequences for the undercapitalised and inexperienced. The gap bet ween prime and secondar y proper t y ma rkets is w idening. Broad ly speaking, the requirements for property to be regarded as prime are focused around locational superiority, design efficiency and technological relevance. Tenants are targeting reduced occupation costs and increased facility efficiencies. Premium rentals will continue to be paid for modern buildings where high staff occupancy ratios can be accommodated, where consumer traffic is high or the latest distribution technologies employed. Owners of older buildings where current occupier demands cannot be accommodated without compromise are increasingly being faced with a choice of either having to reduce rentals or face vacancy. As tenant requirements are unlikely to ever revert to past inefficiencies, owners of older buildings can reliably predict an ever widening gap between prime rentals and those which they are capable of achieving. 38 August 2013 SA Real Estate Investor W h i lst bu i ld ing s ca n be ref u rbished with varying degrees of success, shifting demographic changes are brought about by factors beyond the scope and control of the property owner. Tenants remain relatively f lexible in their ability to move from one location to another, conversely the property owner’s only prudent response to declining demand for location is to disinvest. With limited supply of prime investment opportunity and intense rivalry between cash rich investors for these relatively expensive assets, it is natural to turn to new or secondary markets for opportunity. There are indeed rich pickings to be had in these markets though the unreported stories of sometimes dramatic failure are equally prevalent. Success in these more liquid and affordable markets is only possible with a clear understanding and mitigation of risk. Entry into secondary markets is arguably cheaper and consequently tends to attract a broader class of investor including private individuals. It is also a market where investors irrationally look to “self-perform”, without clear strategy or local knowledge, to save costs by not employing advisors, and in so doing to add to an already loaded balance of risk weighing against their success. Against this background, what advice for property investors? Strateg y - The development of a clear investment strateg y is imperative. Given that investment in property seldom produces yield and capital growth in equal measure, particularly within a short - to medium - term time frame, grade opportunities in line with anticipated expectations. Secondary property may well return higher initial yields and prime property stronger capital growth. Active Management - Investment in the property sector, whether direct property ownership or via the listed sector requires active management. Knowledge of local conditions, market trends, competitive offerings, tenant requirements and operating expenditure trends are imperative to proactive risk management. In the South African context, increasing municipal and utility charges are combining to form a cocktail of above-inf lation costs which are having a toxic impact on achievable net rentals, particularly in non-prime assets. Increasing costs above thresholds affordable to tenants, will result in downward pressure on rentals; lower rentals translate directly into lower yields and adversely affect the income valuation of property assets. Prudent and informed investors may under these circumstances wish to divest of their directly held property or of their investment in listed entities with substantial exposure to secondary markets. Tenancy - All too often, the importance of the tenant’s contribution to the success of any property investment is overlooked. With the absence of rental income, property is in most cases not an asset but a liability as operational costs continue to be incurred without the benefit of revenue. Tenancy is a critical cog www.reimag.co.za