Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa April/ May 2020 | Page 4
EDITORIAL
VIEW
JOHANN RUPERT
O N S H OW
Turn the coronavirus crisis
into opportunity
11:00 - 16:00
T
he outbreak of the coronavirus, which causes the
disease COVID-19, has made the world a little crazy.
The coronavirus is wreaking havoc, governments are
implementing lockdowns, creating mass panic, disrupting
business and people’s lives as people start operating from
home while productivity reaches all-time lows. It is causing
global markets to crash, shutdowns in businesses and causing
massive distress in real estate markets.
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As one might expect, caution and financial distress will increase
in the short-term as the impact of the virus grows in more sectors.
Driven by sentiment, it’s not surprising that the markets have
already taken a hit and SA seems certain to be heading for another
recession – recently the JSE suffered their worst day trading results
since the 2008 financial crisis falling by more than 12% in a day.
The rand has also taken a beating against the dollar and other
major currencies at the time of writing breached R18 to the dollar
heading for the weakest performance on record, including an
official downgrade to junk status.
Many small and medium sized businesses will also be at risk
if government does not intervene. Retail landlords are getting
huge pressure from retailers who cannot service their rents and
the residential sector is experiencing the same problems from
their tenants. There’s a lot of unpredictability with the coronavirus,
and there’s a likelihood that it could first get worse before it gets
better, that’s the bad news. Many people are uncertain about their
futures both from a financial and health perspective.
History reflects certainty and shows that while markets do
take a fall during a crisis as a result of a virus outbreak, they
generally fall sharply. However, they can also bounce back
relatively quickly once resolved and we know that from great
adversity comes wonderful new opportunities.
In South Africa where the local economy has barely grown
in the last 5 years, we believe that South Africans are incredibly
resilient people in the face of challenges. Alan van der
Westhuizen Head of Growth of Co-working office group IWG in
SA says, “as the coronavirus becomes more widespread, many
proactive entrepreneurs will use the social distancing and poor
economic conditions to see how they can adapt and capitalise
on the crisis.”
According to Robert Kiyosaki, US real estate investor and
expert says, “While a virus like this is never good news, it is
making more favourable real estate investment conditions.”
In the US, the Federal Reserve slashed mortgage rates for the
first time since 2008. Rates for a 30-year mortgage in the US
tumbled to the lowest on record. In South Africa interest rates
were also reduced by 1% to 8,75% (from 9,75%) with more cuts
to come. He says, “The challenge is now to be counter cyclical
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while there is panic and pandemonium in the markets.” In SA
currently, there will be blood on the streets and opportunities
will arise. There is also a demand specifically for entry-level
priced properties up to R1,5 million bracket but also a shortage
of these well-priced properties.
Social distancing, self-isolation and operating remotely
are buzz words that we hear regularly around us in these
challenging times. Tech is already impacting how people buy
and sell property as we discovered at REI’s latest Digitalisation
Summit in Johannesburg & Cape Town.
As a driver of a new PropTech company we are constantly
seeing consumers’ engagement habits changing all the time.
They are looking for new solutions designed to solve immediate
problems, saving them time and money in the process. In the
current climate, it could well save the transaction too. We’re a
mobile, technology-enhanced society and can and should be
using all of the digital tools at our disposal to carry on normally
until the worst blows over.
Showhouses are cancelled until end of the COVID-19
lockdown and replaced with virtual reality (VR) tours to
combat the spread of the coronavirus. This is just one example
of tech working. Working from home and online learning have
become the new norm for many South Africans. Many people
are uncertain about their futures (both financially and from a
health perspective). There are massive opportunities opening
up for those of us that are prepared to take advantage of them.
The recovery from a coronavirus-triggered recession will
usher in a new era in which how we live, do business and
how we invest will fundamentally change. If ever there was a
time to draw on the world and our nation’s incredible ability
to keep calm and take advantage in the face of adversity, this
would be it. Understand in the knowledge that this too shall
eventually pass.
Stay safe and successful investing!
NEALE PETERSEN
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF
MILTON FRIEDMAN
“
“
SATURDAYS
Only a crisis - actual or perceived - produces
real change. When that crisis occurs, the
actions that are taken depend on the ideas
that are lying around.
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SA Real Estate Investor Magazine APRIL/MAY 2020
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