Real Estate Investor Magazine South Africa April/May 2019 | Page 41

INDUSTRIAL How to Negotiate your Rentals like a Boss K EPPING PROPERTY nowing precisely what market rentals are doing is an Bales says that during the higher inflation era of 1980 to essential part of all rental negotiations. Rental growth 1999 industrial rentals grew by 12.76% per annum, and the affects values within the industrial property sector and average contractual lease escalations were 12% per annum is a large determinant of business costs. during this period. During the lower inflation era of 1999 to According to Tony Bales of Epping Property, property 2018 industrial rentals grew at 5.81% per annum. investors need to be able to time their investments at the Compounded over the last 12 years, industrial rentals have best stage in the rental cycle. grown by 8.04% per annum. Likewise, businesses looking According to Bales, the rentals in to enter into a new lease Epping Industria are viewed as a good It is currently a good time to be sample for average long-term rentals must be aware of the rental cycle as one may be able to negotiating a new (or renewed) in Cape Town, and quite possibly, the lock into a longer term lease entire industrial property sector in lease for industrial property that will limit the upside in South Africa. rentals if the market rentals Due to the current depressed state as landlords are keen to retain are accelerating faster in the of the economy and the lower GDP tenants or fill their vacant spaces. cycle, industrial rentals are currently short term. So just how much have flat, or at best, in a low growth phase. industrial property rentals in This means that rental growth in Cape Town grown over the the short term will be limited. It is years? currently a good time to be negotiating a new (or renewed) Epping Property has analysed the historical data for lease for industrial property as landlords are keen to retain industrial rentals in Epping Industria in Cape Town as far tenants or fill their vacant spaces. Also, when the market does back as 38 years and says that the findings reveal that periods pick up, industrial rentals will accelerate faster than inflation. of low growth and/or periods of high growth can significantly ‘While the average statistics on rental increases indicate the influence shorter-term trends, but that the long-term growth general trend, one does have to be mindful that each set of tendencies are nonetheless apparent. industrial premises has different attributes. So, each and every ‘Average growth in rentals over time, short growth premises will have different market rentals at any one point in periods, stagnant growth periods, and sudden downturns can time. For this reason, Epping Property recommends keeping sometimes skew one's idea of long-term trends. However, the in close contact with a specialised industrial property broker results speak for themselves and industrial rentals have grown who can give you an accurate assessment of a premises' correct by 9.23% per annum compounded over the last 38 years.’ current market rental,’ says Bales. “ “ SA Real Estate Investor Magazine APRIL/MAY 2019 39