www . refrigerationandaircon . co . za RACA Journal I November 2023 5
Associations
BACK TO THE FUTURE : OUR INDUSTRY IN 2030 ( PART 1 )
On 13 June , Timothy G . Wentz , PE , HBDP | Fellow / Presidential Member ASHRAE , gave the third of a series of three presentations over three weeks to the South African Chapter of ASHRAE . The third was on the topic of Back to the future : Our industry in 2030 hosted by the ASHRAE Society Chapter Technology Transfer Committee ( CTTC ). The following is a relatively complete review of the first part of that presentation , edited by Eamonn Ryan .
As we peer into the crystal ball of the HVAC & R sector , it becomes apparent that the future holds a multitude of possibilities . While uncertainties may cloud our vision , there are discernible trends that are already reshaping our industry . With advancements in technology at the forefront , it is crucial for us to understand and adapt to the changes that lie ahead .
Technology serves as the driving force behind the changes unfolding in the HVAC & R sector . From artificial intelligence ( AI ) to computational power , various advancements are already influencing the way we work , interact with clients , and produce products . A glance at recent headlines reveals the pervasive influence of technology , with articles focusing on AI and its potential in our industry . The ASHRAE journal , for instance , featured a lead article on AI , highlighting its relevance and significance in current discussions .
A fascinating aspect of technological progress is the exponential growth of computational power . Looking at calculations per second per USD1 000 , we can witness the astonishing capabilities of our current computing power . Presently , our machines possess the computational abilities equivalent to a human brain — an achievement that provokes awe and curiosity . However , a truly mind-boggling prospect lies in the projected future , specifically 2045 . By that time , computing power is predicted to reach the magnitude of all humanity combined , close to 10 billion people . This remarkable surge in computing power underpins the emergence of AI and its potential applications .
Stephen Hawking , the eminent English professor known for his prodigious intellect , drew attention to the significance of AI . He recognised that the success or failure of AI could shape the course of our civilisation . The potential benefits of AI are vast , but so are
the risks . As AI continues to permeate various aspects of our lives , such as schools , universities , and even courtrooms , there is an urgent need to navigate its ethical and practical challenges .
© Eamonn Ryan | RACA Journal .
Leading executives from Microsoft and Google emphasise the importance of prioritising the mitigation of risks associated with AI to prevent the potential threat of extinction . The mere mention of the word ‘ extinction ’ in relation to AI raises concerns and underscores the gravity of the situation .
The future of the
HVAC & R sector hinges on our ability to embrace technological advancements while remaining vigilant . As AI becomes increasingly prevalent , we must adapt our practices , skill sets , and industry standards accordingly . Collaboration between industry professionals , policymakers , and educational institutions is essential to develop guidelines and regulations that promote the responsible use of AI . Emphasising transparency , accountability , and ongoing evaluation will help ensure that AI aligns with our values and objectives .
ASHRAE
Timothy G . Wentz , PE , HBDP | Fellow / Presidential Member ASHRAE
As AI becomes an integral part of our work , we need to redefine our approach to engineering .
www . refrigerationandaircon . co . za RACA Journal I November 2023 5